JD Cam

September 6, 2024

2024 MLB Draft, MiLB, MLB Draft

Who's Hot and Who's Not? Digging into Initial Data for 2024 First Round Hitters

JD Cam

September 6, 2024

2024 MLB Draft, MiLB, MLB Draft

It’s hard to believe, but we’re two months out from the 2024 MLB Draft. The class was bouyed by a strong college hitting demographic, with many picks having made their debuts, giving us a glimpse into the type of hitters they may be as professionals, their assets, and limitations. In the next few weeks at Prospects Live, we’ll be checking in on some of the data tied to first round bats. All of these reports and write ups draw on relatively small sample sizes, many of them for prospects playing by far their most grueling year of baseball to date, so temper any significant conclusions drawn.

NOTE: All data for prospects was pulled prior to games on 09.05.24

Travis Bazzana, 1st Overall, Guardians, A+

Slash Line: .231/.364/.407 (.770)

25.5 K%, 13.6 BB%

78.5% Contact%

.343 xWOBA

.170/.276/.280 (.556) versus LHP

The Guardians were the biggest beneficiary of the draft lottery this cycle, moving up to number one to pick Travis Bazzana, fresh off an outstanding college season with Oregon State. After quickly assigning him to A+ Lake County, Bazzana is off to a solid, if unspectacular, start. Bazzana’s disciplined approach is on display. He’s seeing a whopping 4.36 P/PA (that’s near top of the scale for A ball), and walking at a healthy 13.6% clip. The bat-to-ball skills have shown up, too, as Bazzana is running a 78.5% Contact% through 25 games. Bazzana hasn’t clicked into high gear yet, and he’s been susceptible to left-handed pitching, managing just a .556 OPS against southpaws.

TRAVIS BAZZANA GRAND SLAM

pic.twitter.com/loVRzVJ4Py
— Baseball America (@BaseballAmerica) July 31, 2024

Charlie Condon, 3rd Overall, Rockies, A+

Slash Line: .184/.253/.276 (.528)

31.6 K%, 3.2 BB%

63.9% Contact%

.239 xWOBA

The Rockies assigned Charlie Condon to A+ Spokane after giving him a record-tying bonus, selecting him third overall. It’s been an extremely slow start for the prospect coming off a historic season at Georgia. Condon has shown some bat-to-ball concerns in his first 22 games, managing a 63.9 Contact% (~7% below average for the level). The approach has been rough, too, with a 10.00 K/BB thus far. It’s still very early for Condon as a professional, but it’s been a slow start.

Struggles continue for Charlie Condon (#Rockies no. 1). Finished tonight 0/4 with a walk, including this GIDP with the bases loaded. Pressing a bit too much at the plate and chased out of the zone a bit much. pic.twitter.com/trMt70m2zr
— Preston Farr (@royalsminors) September 5, 2024

Nick Kurtz, 5th Overall, Athletics, AA

Slash Line: .368/.520/.763 (1.283)

20 K%, 24 BB%

77.5% Contact%

.526 xWOBA

It’s extremely early for Kurtz, who the Athletics signed to an underslot deal to sign at number five overall. He’s played just 12 professional games but laid waste to Low A Stockton. Kurtz managed a 1.531 OPS in his first seven games and slugged four home runs and three doubles. The Athletics moved him to AA, where he’s off to a solid start (.785 OPS in five games). Kurtz displays patience and selectivity at the plate, seeing 4.24 P/PA and swinging just 37.7% of the time. While he’s shown some vulnerability striking out at a high clip against left-handed pitching, crucially, he’s maintaining his excellent approach against them, keeping a consistent platoon-neutral on base percentage. Kurtz is off to one of the best starts of any first-round hitter.

Nick Kurtz, demolisher of California League pitching 🚀

Four homers in his first six pro games for the @WakeBaseball standout.@stocktonports | @Athletics pic.twitter.com/PBxeAZnYaD
— Minor League Baseball (@MiLB) August 18, 2024

Jac Caglianone, 6th Overall, Royals, A+

Slash Line: .250/.318/.420 (.738)

21.8 K%, 6.4 BB%

74.1% Contact%

56.3% Swing%

.317 xWOBA

Caglianone was one of the most intriguing bats in the first round. Significant improvements in his strikeout rate and out of zone contact rate in his final year at Florida were offset by extreme chase rates, all coupled with monster raw power. How would this translate to professional baseball? Solidly, thus far. Caglianone is an aggressive hitter, with a swing rate close to 10% above MLB average. His improved bat-to-ball skills have carried over into professional baseball. He’s producing at a solid rate for the level despite running an 81.8% ground ball rate against left-handed pitchers.

Jac Caglianone's power is so easy. Dude just swats this changeup down and away 107 mph into the pull side gap. Next swing was a 113 mph triple the other way.

Last 12 High-A games: .302/.327/.528, 16% K-rate. 20 batted balls 100+ mph. pic.twitter.com/ySFs0i7rAy
— Aram Leighton (@AramLeighton8) September 1, 2024

JJ Wetherholt, 7th Overall, Cardinals, A

Slash Line: .235/.365/.306 (.671)

10.6 K%, 14.4 BB%

80.7% Contact%

13.6% Chase%

.340 xWOBA

104.1 mph 90thExitVel

53.3% Hit95+%

In the conversation for the number one overall pick coming into the 2024 cycle, Wetherholt missed significant time due to soft tissue injuries at West Virginia, eventually being selected at number seven overall by the Cardinals. While Wetherholt’s slash line is unspectacular, I’d argue that some of his under the hood numbers should have Cardinals fans encouraged. The bat to ball skills are as advertised, as Wetherholt is maintaining a Contact% ~10% above average for the level. He doesn’t chase much, and is walking more than he is striking out through his first 25 games as a professional. Wetherholt is crushing his batted balls, with 53.3% hit 95 mph or harder. That’s third best in A ball among prospects who have played at least 20 games. He’s been a victim of some bad batted ball luck thus far.

JJ Wetherholt with an absolute laser beam!

The @Cardinals top-ranked prospect and 2024 1st-rounder rockets his 2nd professional homer 109.2 mph for the Single-A @GoPBCardinals. pic.twitter.com/hDrdlRHFL1
— MLB Pipeline (@MLBPipeline) September 6, 2024

Christian Moore, 8th Overall, Angels, AA

Slash Line: .330/.381/.567 (.948)

26.7 K%, 7.6 BB%

65.2% Contact%

.403 xWOBA

The Angels continued their predictable tendency of drafting prospects they believe can make short work of the minor leagues and make an immediate impact with the big league roster. This year it was Tennessee slugger Christian Moore, who they signed underslot at 8th overall. Moore passed the test of stepping into the batter's box at A ball before being moved up to AA, where he went on an immediate heater. After slugging five home runs in his first six games for Rocket City, he was sidelined by a meniscus injury. Moore was maximizing his batted ball events before his injury (high line drive and pull percentages). Long term, the potential obstacles may be his bat to ball skills against higher caliber pitching, as he was managing a 65.2% Contact% prior to his injury. Undeniably though, Moore was off to the hot start the Angels hoped for. There’s no current timeline for his return to on-field action.

Christian Moore HR

105 mph EV
408 ft pic.twitter.com/xooTTqvIey
— AngelsMiLB (@AngelsMiLB) August 10, 2024

Prospects Live Staff

July 22, 2024

Top Prospect List

2024 Midseason Top 100 Prospects

Prospects Live Staff

July 22, 2024

Top Prospect List

In recent years, we have had more evaluators contribute to the Top 100 list. However, this year we have decided to combine Matt Thompson and Rhys White's lists to create the midseason Top 100 list. This update reflects how we view the prospects as things stand, with their fit within their organizations to be reflected at a later time.

We have included the 2024 draftees in this updated version, with the assumption that everyone here will sign and play some form of affiliated baseball this season for the team that drafted them. This year’s draft was not known for its strength or depth, leading to a record low number of recent draftees making the midseason list. It is not easy to properly assess how recent college players will slot into their respective organizations, but we believe we did a good job of comparing them to their new peers. Evaluating high school/prep talent through the same prism is harder, but we are confident in the way we stacked them up against other fellow minor leaguers.

There was no debate for the top prospect this year; it was clearly James Wood, who provides eye-popping power and more than enough plate skills to make us confident in him atop our list. He has overtaken Jackson Holliday for us. While we believe Holliday will be a really good major leaguer and have him right behind Wood, we are more confident in Wood being the better player short and long-term. Rhys and Matt had a pretty similar top 10, with Dylan Crews and Junior Caminero being flipped on their lists. The same goes for Samuel Basallo and Jackson Jobe, who were also flip-flopped on their respective lists.

The biggest riser this year is recent major leaguer Jacob Wilson. He has hit the ground running this season, and a year after being drafted, he is now a big leaguer. He has shown that minor league pitching is no match for him. He doesn’t hit the ball hard, but he has enough power that opposing pitchers have to respect him. He is one of the highest-floor prospects to come out in a while and was fast-tracked through the Athletics’ system.

On the flip side, one of the biggest fallers is Colson Montgomery. He is still a top 60 prospect for us, but he was viewed as someone who was going to break into the top 10. Things for him as a hitter have gone backward. He isn’t hitting like he has before this season, and his power has taken a step back as well. The encouraging development in Montgomery’s game is that he has taken a big step forward as a shortstop defender. However, the building blocks of his skill set have regressed this season, pushing him down our list.

It is important to note that the minor leagues as a whole are weaker. This is a result of several factors. Teams are more aggressive than ever in promoting prospects to the majors. Plus, we have a cutdown of the minor league spots in general, lessening the pool. This is one of the weaker crops of top 100 prospects in recent memory.

All this to say, here is the Prospects Live Midseason Top 100 Prospects list.

1. James Wood, OF Washington Nationals

Highest Level: MLB | 2024 Preseason Top 100 Rank: 10

2. Jackson Holliday, SS/2B Baltimore Orioles

Highest Level: MLB | 2024 Preseason Top 100 Rank: 1

3. Junior Caminero, 3B Tampa Bay Rays

Highest Level: Triple-A | 2024 Preseason Top 100 Rank: 4

4. Dylan Crews, OF Washington Nationals

Highest Level: Triple-A | 2024 Preseason Top 100 Rank: 6

5. Samuel Basallo, C Baltimore Orioles

Highest Level: Double-A | 2024 Preseason Top 100 Rank: 7

6. Jackson Jobe, RHP Detroit Tigers

Highest Level: Double-A | 2024 Preseason Top 100 Rank: 13

7. Coby Mayo, 3B Baltimore Orioles

Highest Level: Triple-A | 2024 Preseason Top 100 Rank: 25

8. Carson Williams, SS Tampa Bay Rays

Highest Level: Double-A | 2024 Preseason Top 100 Rank: 35

9. Jasson Dominguez, OF New York Yankees

Highest Level: MLB | 2024 Preseason Top 100 Rank: 27

10. Walker Jenkins, OF Minnesota Twins

Highest Level: Single-A | 2024 Preseason Top 100 Rank: 8

11. Brooks Lee, 3B Minnesota Twins

Highest Level: MLB | 2024 Preseason Top 100 Rank: 23

12. Noah Schultz, LHP Chicago White Sox

Highest Level: Double-A | 2024 Preseason Top 100 Rank: 62

13. Andrew Painter, RHP Philadelphia Phillies

Highest Level: INJ | 2024 Preseason Top 100 Rank: 11

14. Marcelo Mayer, SS Boston Red Sox

Highest Level: Double-A | 2024 Preseason Top 100 Rank: 36

15. Colt Emerson, SS Seattle Mariners

Highest Level: Single-A | 2024 Preseason Top 100 Rank: 41

16. Travis Bazzana, 2B Cleveland Guardians

Highest Level: NCAA | 2024 Preseason Top 100 Rank: N/A

17. Jacob Wilson, SS Oakland Athletics

Highest Level: MLB | 2024 Preseason Top 100 Rank: UNRANKED

18. Lazaro Montes, OF Seattle Mariners

Highest Level: High-A | 2024 Preseason Top 100 Rank: 53

19. Xavier Isaac, 1B Tampa Bay Rays

Highest Level: High-A | 2024 Preseason Top 100 Rank: 74

20. Jordan Lawlar, SS Arizona Diamondbacks

Highest Level: Triple-A | 2024 Preseason Top 100 Rank: 15

21. Kyle Teel, C Boston Red Sox

Highest Level: Double-A | 2024 Preseason Top 100 Rank: 45

22. Roman Anthony, OF Boston Red Sox

Highest Level: Double-A | 2024 Preseason Top 100 Rank: 33

23. Charlie Condon, OF Colorado Rockies

Highest Level: NCAA | 2024 Preseason Top 100 Rank: N/A

24. Emmanuel Rodriguez, OF Minnesota Twins

Highest Level: Double-A | 2024 Preseason Top 100 Rank: 24

25. JJ Wetherholt, SS St. Louis Cardinals

Highest Level: NCAA | 2024 Preseason Top 100 Rank: N/A

26. Tink Hence, RHP St. Louis Cardinals

Highest Level: Double-A | 2024 Preseason Top 100 Rank: 81

27. Heston Kjerstad, OF Baltimore Orioles

Highest Level: MLB | 2024 Preseason Top 100 Rank: 61

28. Chase Dollander, RHP Colorado Rockies

Highest Level: High-A | 2024 Preseason Top 100 Rank: 60

29. Adael Amador, 2B Colorado Rockies

Highest Level: MLB | 2024 Preseason Top 100 Rank: 21

30. Kevin McGonigle, SS/2B Detroit Tigers

Highest Level: Single-A | 2024 Preseason Top 100 Rank: UNRANKED

31. Cole Young, SS/2B Seattle Mariners

Highest Level: Double-A | 2024 Preseason Top 100 Rank: 38

32. Chase Burns, RHP Cincinnati Reds

Highest Level: NCAA | 2024 Preseason Top 100 Rank: N/A

33. Aidan Miller, SS Philadelphia Phillies

Highest Level: High-A | 2024 Preseason Top 100 Rank: UNRANKED

34. Cade Horton, RHP Chicago Cubs

Highest Level: Triple-A | 2024 Preseason Top 100 Rank: 17

35. Hagen Smith, LHP Chicago White Sox

Highest Level: NCAA | 2024 Preseason Top 100 Rank: N/A

36. Owen Caissie, OF Chicago Cubs

Highest Level: Triple-A | 2024 Preseason Top 100 Rank: 68

37. Max Clark, OF Detroit Tigers

Highest Level: Single-A | 2024 Preseason Top 100 Rank: 30

38. Dalton Rushing, C Los Angeles Dodgers

Highest Level: Double-A | 2024 Preseason Top 100 Rank: 63

39. Ethan Salas, C San Diego Padres

Highest Level: High-A | 2024 Preseason Top 100 Rank: 12

40. Bubba Chandler, RHP Pittsburgh Pirates

Highest Level: Double-A | 2024 Preseason Top 100 Rank: 76

41. Matt Shaw, 3B/2B Chicago Cubs

Highest Level: Double-A | 2024 Preseason Top 100 Rank: 29

42. Quinn Mathews, LHP St. Louis Cardinals

Highest Level: Double-A | 2024 Preseason Top 100 Rank: UNRANKED

43. Spencer Jones, OF New York Yankees

Highest Level: Double-A | 2024 Preseason Top 100 Rank: 32

44. Ralphy Velazquez, 1B Cleveland Guardians

Highest Level: Single-A | 2024 Preseason Top 100 Rank: UNRANKED

45. Sebastian Walcott, SS/3B Texas Rangers

Highest Level: High-A | 2024 Preseason Top 100 Rank: 99

46. Bryce Eldridge, 1B San Francisco Giants

Highest Level: High-A | 2024 Preseason Top 100 Rank: 64

47. Moises Ballesteros, C/1B Chicago Cubs

Highest Level: Triple-A | 2024 Preseason Top 100 Rank: UNRANKED

48. Jacob Misiorowski, RHP Milwaukee Brewers

Highest Level: Double-A | 2024 Preseason Top 100 Rank: 40

49. Luke Keaschall, 2B Minnesota Twins

Highest Level: Double-A | 2024 Preseason Top 100 Rank: UNRANKED

50. Brandon Sproat, RHP New York Mets

Highest Level: Double-A | 2024 Preseason Top 100 Rank: UNRANKED

51. Colson Montgomery, SS Chicago White Sox

Highest Level: Triple-A | 2024 Preseason Top 100 Rank: 18

52. Thomas White, LHP Miami Marlins

Highest Level: High-A | 2024 Preseason Top 100 Rank: UNRANKED

53. Rhett Lowder, RHP Cincinnati Reds

Highest Level: Double-A | 2024 Preseason Top 100 Rank: 52

54. Jett Williams, SS New York Mets

Highest Level: Double-A | 2024 Preseason Top 100 Rank: 34

55. Chase DeLauter, OF Cleveland Guardians

Highest Level: Double-A | 2024 Preseason Top 100 Rank: 31

56. Starlyn Caba, SS Philadelphia Phillies

Highest Level: CPX | 2024 Preseason Top 100 Rank: UNRANKED

57. Kyle Manzardo, 1B Cleveland Guardians

Highest Level: MLB | 2024 Preseason Top 100 Rank: 69

58. Angel Genao, SS Cleveland Guardians

Highest Level: High-A | 2024 Preseason Top 100 Rank: UNRANKED

59. Justin Crawford, OF Philadelphia Phillies

Highest Level: Double-A | 2024 Preseason Top 100 Rank: UNRANKED

60. David Festa, RHP Minnesota Twins

Highest Level: MLB | 2024 Preseason Top 100 Rank: UNRANKED

61. Zebby Matthews, RHP Minnesota Twins

Highest Level: Double-A | 2024 Preseason Top 100 Rank: UNRANKED

62. Jac Caglianone, 1B/LHP Kansas City Royals

Highest Level: NCAA | 2024 Preseason Top 100 Rank: UNRANKED

63. Leodalis De Vries, SS San Diego Padres

Highest Level: Single-A | 2024 Preseason Top 100 Rank: 71

64. Josue De Paula, OF Los Angeles Dodgers

Highest Level: High-A| 2024 Preseason Top 100 Rank: 50

65. Braden Montgomery, OF Boston Red Sox

Highest Level: NCAA | 2024 Preseason Top 100 Rank: N/A

66. Jonny Farmelo, OF Seattle Mariners

Highest Level: Single-A | 2024 Preseason Top 100 Rank: UNRANKED

67. Drew Gilbert, OF New York Mets

Highest Level: Triple-A | 2024 Preseason Top 100 Rank: 48

68. Caden Dana, RHP Los Angeles Angels

Highest Level: Double-A | 2024 Preseason Top 100 Rank: UNRANKED

69. Brayden Taylor, SS/3B Tampa Bay Rays

Highest Level: High-A | 2024 Preseason Top 100 Rank: UNRANKED

70. Max Meyer, RHP Miami Marlins

Highest Level: MLB | 2024 Preseason Top 100 Rank: UNRANKED

71. Jefferson Rojas, SS Chicago Cubs

Highest Level: high-A | 2024 Preseason Top 100 Rank: UNRANKED

72. Jace Jung, 3B/2B Detroit Tigers

Highest Level: Triple-A | 2024 Preseason Top 100 Rank: 91

73. Jeferson Quero, C Milwaukee Brewers

Highest Level: Triple-A | 2024 Preseason Top 100 Rank: 44

74. Felnin Celesten, SS Seattle Mariners

Highest Level: CPX | 2024 Preseason Top 100 Rank: UNRANKED

75. Jaison Chourio, OF Cleveland Guardians

Highest Level: Single-A | 2024 Preseason Top 100 Rank: UNRANKED

76. Tyler Black, 1B Milwaukee Brewers

Highest Level: MLB | 2024 Preseason Top 100 Rank: 70

77. Victor Scott II, OF St. Louis Cardinals

Highest Level: MLB | 2024 Preseason Top 100 Rank: 47

78. Luis Morales, RHP Oakland Athletics

Highest Level: High-A | 2024 Preseason Top 100 Rank: UNRANKED

79. Agustin Ramirez, C New York Yankees

Highest Level: Triple-A | 2024 Preseason Top 100 Rank: UNRANKED

80. Emiliano Teodo, RHP Texas Rangers

Highest Level: Double-A | 2024 Preseason Top 100 Rank: UNRANKED

81. Santiago Suarez, RHP Tampa Bay Rays

Highest Level: Single-A | 2024 Preseason Top 100 Rank: UNRANKED

82. Bryce Rainer, SS Detroit Tigers

Highest Level: HS | 2024 Preseason Top 100 Rank: N/A

83. Konnor Griffin, OF Pittsburgh Pirates

Highest Level: HS | 2024 Preseason Top 100 Rank: N/A

84. Chandler Simpson, OF Tampa Bay Rays

Highest Level: Double-A | 2024 Preseason Top 100 Rank: UNRANKED

85. Brock Wilken, 3B Milwaukee Brewers

Highest Level: Double-A | 2024 Preseason Top 100 Rank: 72

86. Justin Wrobleski, LHP Los Angeles Dodgers

Highest Level: MLB | 2024 Preseason Top 100 Rank: UNRANKED

87. Cade Povich, LHP Baltimore Orioles

Highest Level: MLB | 2024 Preseason Top 100 Rank: UNRANKED

88. Edgar Quero, C Chicago White Sox

Highest Level: Triple-A | 2024 Preseason Top 100 Rank: 100

89. Kristian Campbell, 3B Boston Red Sox

Highest Level: Double-A | 2024 Preseason Top 100 Rank: UNRANKED

90. Cooper Pratt, SS Milwaukee Brewers

Highest Level: Single-A | 2024 Preseason Top 100 Rank: UNRANKED

91. Brady House, 3B Washington Nationals

Highest Level: Triple-A | 2024 Preseason Top 100 Rank: 66

92. C.J. Kayfus, 1B Cleveland Guardians

Highest Level: Double-A | 2024 Preseason Top 100 Rank: UNRANKED

93. George Klassen, RHP Philadelphia Phillies

Highest Level: High-A | 2024 Preseason Top 100 Rank: UNRANKED

94. Termarr Johnson, 2B Pittsburgh Pirates

Highest Level: High-A | 2024 Preseason Top 100 Rank: 42

95. Henry Bolte, OF Oakland Athletics

Highest Level: Double-A | 2024 Preseason Top 100 Rank: UNRANKED

96. Alfredo Duno, C Cincinnati Reds

Highest Level: Single-A | 2024 Preseason Top 100 Rank: UNRANKED

97. Thayron Liranzo, C Los Angeles Dodgers

Highest Level: High-A | 2024 Preseason Top 100 Rank: 97

98. Drew Thorpe, RHP Chicago White Sox

Highest Level: MLB | 2024 Preseason Top 100 Rank: 43

99. Nacho Alvarez Jr., SS/3B Atlanta Braves

Highest Level: Triple-A | 2024 Preseason Top 100 Rank: UNRANKED

100. Hayden Birdsong, RHP San Francisco Giants

Highest Level: MLB | 2024 Preseason Top 100 Rank: UNRANKED

Prospects Live Staff

July 14, 2024

2024 MLB Draft, MLB Draft

2024 MLB Mock Draft 3.0

Prospects Live Staff

July 14, 2024

2024 MLB Draft, MLB Draft

While everything in Texas is bigger, this introduction won’t be. This is a practice in futility and there’s a lot of rumors and potential chaos abound. Prepare for mayhem accordingly!

The Draft Team Staff at Prospects Live is very thankful for everyone we have interacted and worked with this cycle and we appreciate the readers and viewers alike! Please make sure to join our draft stream tonight at 6:30 PM EST/5:30 PM CST.

1. Cleveland Guardians - INF JJ Wetherholt

Slot Value: $10,570,600

Sitting from this chair, it seems the running for 1.1 has come down to JJ Wetherholt and Travis Bazzana. Given the consideration for draft strategy with two more Top 50 picks, the likelihood that Cleveland gets a significant haircut is high and I would be shocked to see otherwise. With that said, who is more likely to give you that out of those two? Our guess is Wetherholt and it mainly comes down to the fact that he'd provide the bigger haircut and fits on the left side of the infield more than Bazzana. The savings that Wetherholt would provide allow Cleveland to float a prep down to #36 and even #48 if the money works out in their favor. Expect this situation to be fluid throughout the day and there is a good likelihood that the pool of players in consideration is higher than these two.

2. Cincinnati Reds - 3B/OF Charlie Condon

Slot Value: $9,785,000

The gut feeling right now is that Cincinnati prefers a power bat over a power arm, though there's been a Chase Burns connection recently. However, Charlie Condon appears to be the name linked the most with the Reds. This is, of course, assuming Cleveland doesn't go haywire. Caglianone makes sense here, too.

3. Colorado Rockies - RHP Chase BUrns

Slot Value: $9,070,800

There's been heat around a few guys here, including Burns, Condon, and Caglianone. This seems to be an early pivotal pick in this draft considering that Colorado could be in a wait-and-see mode with the two picks above them, but Burns makes the most sense in our eyes. They've quietly done a good job with Chase Dollander and Sean Sullivan, among others, in last year's draft and Burns has arguably the highest upside of any arm available. This seems to be Condon's floor, too.

4. Oakland AThletics - INF Travis Bazzana

Slot Value: $8,370,800

If Bazzana isn't the first overall pick, this is his likely ending spot. It's hard to envision this kind of bat slipping out of the top five and Oakland would be giddy to get a great value pick early. Now, if Bazzana is the first overall pick, expect a myriad of players to be in discussion here, including Nick Kurtz and Jac Caglianone.

5. Chicago White Sox - 1B/LHP Jac CAglianone

Slot Value: $7,763,700

To us, Caglianone feels like the leader in the clubhouse right now, though this may be a more pivotal pick than the Rockies at #3. If Caglianone is gone here, there's an expectation that the two prep bats in Konnor Griffin and Bryce Rainer would be in heavy consideration. Consider this one more of a toss-up in all seriousness.

6. Kansas City Royals - INF Bryce Rainer

Slot Value: $7,213,800

Kansas City really threw us a curveball the night before the draft by trading pick #39 to the Nationals in the Hunter Henry deal. They lose $2,395,000 of their bonus pool, giving them closer to $13,000,000 now to sign their allotted picks. They do still have an early second-round selection, so maybe their strategy doesn't change much. Who knows. As of right now, it feels like it'll come down to one of the prep bats or Hagen Smith. We'll go with Rainer for right now, and maybe there's a slight haircut, but again, who knows? This could very well be where Smith ends up.

7. St. Louis Cardinals - LHP Hagen Smith

Slot Value: $6,823,700

Assuming the Royals end up taking a prep bat, Smith makes a ton of sense for the Cardinals and I'd be shocked if they let him slip past them. Pairing him with 2023 draftee Quinn Mathews would be a fun southpaw duo. If Smith is taken before this pick, we'd expect either Rainer or Griffin here, more so Rainer.

8. Los Angeles Angels - INF Christian Moore

Slot Value: $6,502,800

The Angels are always tricky to identify a specific player in a mock. We know their recent demographic, a fast-moving college guy, but who could that be this year? Braden Montgomery is hurt and while I think he's got a chance here, the injury he sustained in Super Regionals may play a factor in their decision-making, unless they turn a new leaf. Look no further than Christian Moore, Tennessee's offensive catalyst in their CWS run. He has the chance to move quickly in their system and likely comes at a discount, as the Angels have liked to pay a prep in later rounds (i.e. Caden Dana, Barrett Kent).

9. Pittsburgh Pirates - 1B Nick Kurtz

Slot Value: $6,216,600

This pick likely comes down to whichever prep bat is still available (in this case, it's Griffin) and Nick Kurtz. Kurtz is a Pennsylvania native and may present a discount for Pittsburgh's competitive balance pick, though that feeling is not set in stone for us. We'll mock Kurtz for now, but expect an appearance from Griffin.

10. Washington Nationals - OF Braden Montgomery

Slot Value: $5,953,800

Things may get a bit hectic here, but in this scenario, Montgomery's fall comes to an end. He may need to ditch switch-hitting and perform as a left-handed bat, but that's fine. Kurtz makes a ton of sense here if the order changes, plus there's a good chance we could see someone else here. I wouldn't say expect potential chaos, but expect the boards to open up a bit here.

11. Detroit Tigers - INF/OF Konnor Griffin

Slot Value: $5,712,100

Detroit's brass would be pretty happy with Griffin falling into their lap at #11. There's a big link to Cam Caminiti at this spot and I'd imagine that's the likely route, but this is a scenario where the other half of the best prep bats is available. There's some Caleb Lomavita smoke here, too, but that's a rumor we don't feel too confident in. It's still worth noting, nonetheless.

12. Boston REd Sox - RHP Trey Yesavage

Slot Value: $5,484,600

Given Craig Breslow's arrival in Boston, our gut still tells us that ECU's Trey Yesavage is the best fit and would more than likely be available here. He's the last of the premier college arms in this class and fits Boston's organizational needs to a tee. If a top ten player falls to #12, though, expect Boston to pounce.

13. San Francisco Giants - LHP Cam Caminiti

Slot Value: $5,272,300

Assuming Caminiti isn't a Tiger, the next best fit would be the Giants at #13. It'd likely be his absolute floor and that's exactly what happens in this mock scenario. We're prepared to be wrong, though if Yesavage and Cam Smith are available here, we'd expect them to be in consideration.

14. Chicago Cubs - 3B Cameron Smith

Slot Value: $5,070,700

Speaking of Cam Smith, I'd expect the Cubs to pull the trigger if he's available. There's a plethora of college performeres available here and we'd imagine that the Cubs dive into that player pool. Smith's approach changes and power really stand out and he can handle the hot corner.

15. Seattle Mariners - SHP Jurrangelo Cijntje

Slot Value: $4,880,900

The expectation from Seattle is that this pick will likely be pitching. Many, including ourselves, view Jurrangelo Cijntje as SP4 in the college ranks, especially as a right-hander. Yes, there's uniqueness with the switch-pitching, but the stuff from the right side is bringing plenty of suitors to his doorstep. This would likely be Yesavage's floor and we can envision names like Carson Benge to be in consideration here if they go for a bat.

16. Miami Marlins - INF Seaver King

Slot Value: $4,704,700

New Marlins GM Peter Bendix was in Charlotte during the ACC Championship to get eyes on the likes of Seaver King and others. Miami's approach may go bat-heavy now and King seems like an excellent fit at this range, so we'll trust our gut and say he's the pick here.

17. Milwaukee Brewers - OF Ryan Waldschmidt

Slot Value: $4,534,100

Our expectation is that Milwaukee will look for a bat at this spot, though who that is isn't set in stone. Benge makes sense here, though we like Kentucky OF Ryan Waldschmidt more. He's a solid mold of clay for the organization to play with and most believe his best baseball is yet to come. It's a fun analytical fit.

18. Tampa Bay Rays - RHP Ryan Sloan

Slot Value: $4,372,900

There's a plethora of routes that Tampa Bay could go here, but I'd imagine some of the prep arms begin to get some notice here. Ryan Sloan makes the most sense of those arms. The burly right-hander has an excellent three-pitch mix with loud secondaries and has been into the upper-90s this spring. If it's not an arm, we wouldn't be shocked by a prep bat.

19. New YOrk Mets - INF Kaelen Culpepper

Slot Value: $4,219,200

The Mets have a preference for an up-the-middle type of bat and Kaelen Culpepper has the chops to stick at shortstop long term. Vance Honeycutt's name could make an appearance here, too. However, the link between the Mets and Culpepper is too strong to go that route at this time.

20. Toronto Blue Jays - C Malcolm Moore

Slot Value: $4,073,400

The expectation is that Toronto will take a college catcher here, though the real question is which one that'll be. In our eyes, Malcolm Moore is the best available catcher of that group and has solid underlying data to boot. Of course, if it's not Moore, Lomavita, and Walker Janek make the most sense.

21. Minnesota Twins - OF James Tibbs III

Slot Value: $3,934,400

Do we expect James Tibbs III to slip this far? No. In all honesty, there's a good likelihood that he goes way higher. There is some worry about his platoon splits and if he falls like we think he will in this mock, the Twins would be more than happy to scoop him up. He fits their recent trends to a tee.

22. Baltimore Orioles - OF Carson Benge

Slot Value: $3,802,200

Baltimore has liked Culpepper and Honeycutt, though, with one gone and the other having legitimate hit tool concerns, the Orioles may pivot to Benge. Benge's swing is a bit of a project, though Baltimore's hitting development would be perfect for him. It's an extremely fun fit.

23. Los Angeles Dodgers - INF/OF Theo Gillen

Slot Value: $3,676,400

Our expectation is that the Dodgers will go after one of the prep shortstops available in the backend of the first round. Theo Gillen makes the most sense in our eyes right now. Luke Dickerson, Wyatt Sanford, and others are potential fits, too. This is legitimate toss-up territory for us.

24. Atlanta Braves - RHP Dax Whitney

Slot Value: $3,556,300

Dax Whitney has the most helium of any prospect at this present time. It's a projectable frame with budding secondaries and a potentially loud heater. The Braves seem to have an eye on a prep arm and while Kash Mayfield makes a ton of sense, the heat around Whitney is too hard to ignore.

25. San Diego Padres - LHP Kash Mayfield

Slot Value: $3,442,100

The Padres love their preps, that's no secret. There's a grouping of prep guys here, though Mayfield seems like the best fit of that gaggle and would be a fun get for Preller and company. If it's not Mayfield, Kellon Lindsey's name gets some run here.

26. New York Yankees - 1B/3B Tommy White

Slot Value: $3,332,900

The likelihood that the Yankees go with a bat is pretty high and while this may end up being a prep selection, the Yankees may target a performing college bat. That includes Billy Amick, Tommy White, and others. White's bat is the best of that group and our gut tells us he'd be the pick here if it works out that way.

27. philadelphia Phillies - RHP Brody Brecht

Slot Value: $3,228,300

Depending on how you feel about Brody Brecht, this could be in the middle of his potential range or it could be near the top of it. Either which way, the Phillies have the pitching development to at least help Brecht clean up the delivery and improve the strikes necessary to start.

28. HOuston Astros - C Walker Janek

Slot Value: $3,132,500

The Astros have the lowest bonus pool total and it's hard to envision a prep player being the pick here, especially this slot alone is over half of Houston's total pool. Our gut tells us it will likely be one of the college catchers. Janek would be a bit of a surprise since he has suitors higher up on this board, but he'd help Houston save some money if they wanna utilize the most of their money later on.

29. Arizona Diamondbacks - SS Kellon Lindsey

Slot Value: $3,045,500

This is the first of three Arizona picks in the next six. Arizona likes high-contact bats and Lindsey certainly profiles as such. He's also a very impressive runner and many believe he has the chops to stick at shortstop. Expect Arizona to maximize their money over the next couple of picks. Slade Caldwell could be the pick here, as well.

30. Texas Rangers - C Caleb Lomavita

Slot Value: $2,971,300

Whichever college catcher becomes available to Texas at #30, whether it be Janek or Lomavita, makes the most sense to us. Lomavita's got some more raw tools, but the upside is high if everything clicks.

31. Arizona Diamondbacks - RHP Braylon Doughty

Slot Value: $2,904,000

Arizona is back on the clock and this time, our gut feel says it's a prep arm. There's a few options available to them, including Joey Oakie and Dasan Hill, but it's hard to see Doughty falling much further than this. Teams love the feel to spin and there's a good chance he adds more velocity in due time.

32. Baltimore Orioles - INF Wyatt SAnford

Slot Value: $2,835,400

This pick is a bit of wild card. The Orioles have the cash to splurge a little and there's a good chance a prep player is taken here. Dickerson, Caldwell, and Carter Johnson make sense, but it's hard to ignore the projection and tools surrounding Sanford.

33. Minnesota Twins - OF Slade Caldwell

Slot Value: $2,766,100

A potential high-OBP kind of bat for the Twins? Yeah, that's got Caldwell's bat written all over it. It feels like a solid match from this desk.

34. Milwaukee Brewers - OF Vance Honeycutt

Slot Value: $2,698,300

Is it possible that Honeycutt falls this far? Maybe. In this scenario, he does and Milwaukee is as good of a fit as it can get for him. It's a bit of a toss-up if Honeycutt is not available.

35. Arizona Diamondbacks - INF Carter Johnson

Slot Value: $2,632,500

It's time for the last Arizona pick in this mock and we will continue the expectation that they'll utilize as much of their change as humanly possible. Johnson may command a bit of an over-slot deal here, but it's hard to not love the bat path and potential power.

36. Cleveland Guardians - 1B/OF PJ Morlando

Slot Value: $2,569,200

Well, with William Schmidt pulling himself from the draft at the eleventh hour, there's some changes here. There was a plan B to this scenario and for us, it's hard to ignore the availability and tools with Morlando. We'll see what ultimately happens.

37. Pittsburgh Pirates - RHP Bryce Meccage

Slot Value: $2,511,400

There's a bloodline link here, as Meccage's uncle is a bullpen coach in Pittsburgh. Many teams have preferred Meccage over the likes of other prominent Northeast arms and it's easy to see why. Starter traits, a budding arsenal with two banger breaking balls, plus he's been up to 96 MPH this spring.

38. Colorado Rockies - RHP Luke Holman

Slot Value: $2,452,200

Colorado's likely searching for a college arm at this point and things begin to get a bit murky this deep. Ben Hess has been tossed around, as well as Drew Beam. Luke Holman's more of a safer pick, but there's some upside here if he can throw harder and command the baseball better.

39. Washington Nationals - SS Tyson Lewis

Draft Day Age: 21 yr

Sirota is about as well-rounded of a hitter as you'll find in college baseball. The Northeastern outfielder possesses a rare combination of discipline, power, and hit ability that is hard to come by at the amateur level. Offensively, he lets the ball get deep in the zone, allowing him to stay back and drive the ball to all fields with authority. He rarely chases pitches out of the zone, drawing plenty of walks in the process. Though he occasionally gets knocked for playing at a mid-major, his performance against high-quality pitching over the last two summers in the Cape Cod League show he can excel with a competition jump and wood bat. His speed allows him to cover a ton of ground in center field, which is where he projects as plus long-term. Sirota's advanced bat combined with his athleticism are what make him a potential first-round pick.