2024 MLB Draft

Who's Hot and Who's Not? Digging Into Initial Data for 2024 First Round Hitters, Part 3

With the MiLB season in the books, we’re concluding our look at initial data from 2024 first rounds bats. While prospects are at the end of what is likely their most grueling season of baseball to date, their first handful of games give us an idea of what kind of hitters these prospects may be as professionals.


All of these reports and write ups continue to draw on relatively small sample sizes, many of them for prospects playing by far their most grueling year of baseball to date, so temper any significant conclusions drawn.


Kaelen Culpepper, 21st Overall, Twins, A+

Slash Line: .242/.330/.394 (.724)

13.4 K%, 9.8 BB%

82.1% Contact%

0% InZoneWhiff% (A only)

33% Chase% (A only)

102.6 mph 90thExitVel (A only)

34.3% Hit95+% (A only)

.312 xWOBA

While Culpepper’s end-of-season slash line is middling, he got off to a scorching start to his professional career. After making swing changes that led to a big college postseason (punctuated by hitting for the cycle and nuking a three-run home run off Hagen Smith), Culpepper made short work of Low A Fort Myers. Culpepper hit the ball hard with consistency and moved up quickly to Cedar Rapids after not swinging and missing in the zone once in the FSL. He wore down significantly at the end of the season, despite his defense at shortstop receiving glowing reviews from Twins personnel. Despite a high chase rate, encouragement can be found in Culpepper’s bat-to-ball skills during a strong pro debut. He’ll start at A+ 2025.

Vance Honeycutt, 23rd Overall, Orioles, A+

Slash Line: .176/.250/.196 (.446)

42.9 K%, 7.1 BB%

57.3% Contact%

.211 xWOBA

Honeycutt was the catalyst behind some incredible adrenaline producing moments in the 2024 college baseball postseason. Entering the draft, his hit tool was the biggest question weighing down his offensive profile. He’s done little to diminish them in a brief debut at A and A+, striking out 42.9% of the time and sporting a contact rate that starts with a five. Honeycutt’s incredible defense and athleticism will buoy his value, but he’ll need to make strides offensively in 2025.


Dante Nori, 27th Overall, Phillies, A

Slash Line: .240/.424/.280 (.704)

21.2 K%, 22 BB%

73.6% Contact%

22.5% Chase%

94.5 mph 90thExitVel

5.6% Hit95+%

.324 xWOBA

Nori, the son of the Minnesota Timberwolves Assistant Coach Micah Nori, was one of the few prep bats to get meaningful playing time after the 2024 draft, starting his pro career in A ball. Nori’s robust approach jumps out from his debut, racking up an impressive .424 OBP in no small part due to a fantastic 22% walk rate. There are also solid bat-to-ball skills, and Nori doesn’t chase too much, either. If you want to raise an orange flag, it’s how little he impacted the ball. Just 5.6% of Nori’s batted ball events were hit 95 mph or greater (the average for the level is 34.3%). Still, there’s a solid platform to build for 2025 and beyond.


Walker Janek, 28th Overall, Astros, A+

Slash Line: .175/.214/.289 (.502)

29.1 K%, 3.1 BB%

66.7% Contact%

.218 xWOBA

Janek steadily rose throughout the pre-draft process and was dubbed the best defensive catcher in the class, with solid hit and power tools to boot. The Astros threw him straight into A+, and it’s been a slow start in a 25 game debut. What has been notable is how much Janek has struggled against right-handed pitching. He’s sported just a .440 OPS against righties versus a healthy .896 versus lefties, something to keep an eye on in 2025.

Malcolm Moore, 30th Overall, Rangers, A

Slash Line: .209/.298/.374 (.672)

27.9 K%, 7.7 BB%

70.3% Contact%

.296 xWOBA

There’s not much to note about Moore’s pro debut. It’s all just sort of fine. Nothing spectacular, nothing too alarming either. Much was made of Moore’s poor batted-ball luck in his final season at Stanford before turning pro. We’ll need a more significant sample of playing time to mine some of the trends for Moore as a prospect.

Who's Hot and Who's Not? Digging into Initial Data for 2024 First Round Hitters. Part 2

Who's Hot and Who's Not? Digging into Initial Data for 2024 First Round Hitters. Part 2

We continue digging into the initial data of first round bats drafted in 2024. In this edition, we're looking at the data underpinning the MiLB debuts of Seaver King, James Tibbs III, Cam Smith, and Carson Benge.

2025 MLB Draft: Top Draft Prospect Transfers

The transfer portal and NIL have created the notion that we expect lots of change each college baseball offseason. It has also significantly changed the recruiting process and how teams approach the MLB Draft. Regardless of your opinion on the matter, this is where the current landscape stands. 



The 2025 college baseball transfer portal saw a lot of high-end talent on the move, with many expected to be potential top draft picks for the 2025 MLB Draft. Here are a few names you should be watching. Rankings of the transfer portal players are thanks to our friends over at 64 Analytics: www.64analytics.com 



HITTERS

3B/OF ANDREW FISCHER (OLE MISS TO TENNESSEE)

64 Analytics Portal Rank: #2

The Tennessee Volunteers were quiet on the transfer portal, and then, all of a sudden, they landed two of the top bats in the entire transfer class in Fischer and Kilen. We will start with Fischer, who provided some serious pop for Ole Miss. Fischer began his collegiate career at Duke in 2023 before transferring to Ole Miss for his sophomore year. Fischer is a bat-first prospect who generates a ton of power, as he’s seen max EVs up to 113 mph. Fischer generates most of his power to the pull side. He couples that with decent barrel-to-ball skills and the ability to get on base, as he sports a near 14% BB rate. Defensively, Fischer’s home is a bit unknown because he’s a bit clunky at third base, but has the arm strength to handle the position if he can improve there. He should fill in nicely in the heart of the Volunteers lineup.



SS GAVIN KILEN (LOUISVILLE TO TENNESSEE)

64 Analytics Portal Rank: #4

The Volunteers lost a ton of bats in the MLB Draft, but hit the transfer portal hard and should be able to stave off some of those missing pieces. Kilen will play a major role in that. He produced some of the best contact rates in the NCAA last year, posting some insane contact and in-zone contact rates. He’s a bit aggressive, which led to a high chase rate, but that didn’t lead to significant Whiff or an increase in strikeouts, he has put up pretty good numbers in both categories. The big thing about Kilen’s offensive game is he saw a rise in pull-side power, with his max exit velocity getting up to 111 mph. Defensively, Killen has solid range at shortstop and enough arm strength to stick at the position. His quick reaction time helps him get to the ball with ease. He should be a solid contributor to the Volunteers looking to be repeat National Champions.

OF KANE KEPLEY (LIBERTY TO NORTH CAROLINA)

64 Analytics Portal Rank: #8

The Tar Heels are getting one of the best contact hitters in the transfer portal. At Liberty, Kepley made some insane numbers contact wise. It doesn’t matter where you throw it, there is a good chance that Kepley will hit it. He utilizes the opposite field quite a bit as well.  The 5’8, 170lb outfielder doesn’t possess much raw power but still puts up decent overall exit velos. He’s a plus runner who can track a ball down decently in the outfield. That speed has also led to 20+ steals in one season at Liberty and two summer ball seasons. The lack of power, as mentioned, limits his ceiling, but he has a very safe floor due to his speed, defensive ability, and ability to make contact.



INF AIVA ARQUETTE (WASHINGTON TO OREGON STATE)

64 Analytics Portal Rank: #10

The Washington Huskies saw many players enter the portal, with Head Coach Jason Kelly leaving for Texas A&M. Arquette was definitely one of the top players to leave the Huskies and a massive get for Oregon State. Arquette put on a show in his second year with the Huskies, showcasing a solid combination of power and bat-to-ball skills at the plate. He continued that this summer in the Cape Cod League, where he slashed .291/.357/.437 with a .793 OPS. Most of his power came pull side, but he did showcase the ability to drive the ball the other way as he hit about five home runs to centerfield or right. Arquette also has incredible plate coverage and does a fantastic job getting balls down and away. He can sometimes be aggressive, which leads to increased chase rates. Defensively, he plays a good second base, but given his 6’4, 220lb frame, there is a good chance he will make his way to the hot corner in the long term. In the Cape, he played most of his games at shortstop, with a few at third base. He’s definitely one to watch in 2025, as his already solid toolset and projection could have him skyrocketing. 



C BRADY NEAL (LSU TO ALABAMA)

64 Analytics Portal Rank: #13

A significant loss for LSU, Neal was a force behind the dish for the Tigers, slashing .276/.409/.578 with a .986 OPS. Neal heads to Alabama, where he will give Head Coach Rob Vaughn a solid contributor and consistent leader behind the dish and in the lineup. Neal possesses extreme raw power from the left side and hits the ball very hard to the right side of the field, and has pretty good exit velo numbers to the poolside. Neal needs to improve his ability to make consistent contact so he can tap more into that raw power. He strikes out at a higher clip than you’d like to see. He offsets some of those issues with a fairly decent walk rate. Regardless, the 5’10, 193lb Neal can stick behind the plate thanks to his strong arm and athleticism. The upside with the bat is what you want to say for a potential catcher in the draft, regardless of some of the swing-and-miss concerns.



INF RYAN BLACK (UT ARLINGTON TO GEORGIA)

64 Analytics Portal Rank: #15

Hits the ball hard. That about sums it up. Line drives are the name of the game for Black. He had some decent exit velocities and put his name on the map as a mid-major hitter. Black can generate hard contact with all parts of the field and has most of his hits to the right side. He couples that with very low Chase and Whiff rates. It’s an excellent approach at the plate, and he will be tough out for pitchers. Black should easily stick at second base because he is quick and makes plays. He lacks some range and has average arm strength, which likely limits him to second. He’s not the fastest runner and it’s average at best so his ceiling on the basepaths is limited. He’ll have the opportunity to face some much tougher pitching as he joins Georgia and the SEC.



INF DANIEL DICKINSON (UTAH VALLEY TO LSU)

64 Analytics Portal Rank: #16

LSU, as always, had a time with the transfer portal. Daniel Dickinson may have been one of their best grabs this portal season. Like Ryan Black, Dickinson has some of the most insane contact rates in the country. His Whiff rates are off the charts well, and he struck out less than 10% of the time at Utah Valley. He’s been tapping into his power more, thanks to his quick hands and ability to get barrel-to-ball. It still taps out about fringe-average, but he could improve on that. He couples that with the ability to hit the ball hard. He did run into some struggles this summer in the Cape, but he maintained his elite approach at the plate, boasting excellent walk and strikeout rates, leaving me less concerned. However, he will be tested by some of the best arms in the nation in the SEC. Dickinson seems slated to be a second baseman due to his solid range and quick feet, but his arm will hold him back from playing on the left side of the diamond. 

OF ETHAN CONRAD (MARIST TO WAKE FOREST)

64 Analytics Portal Rank: #169

.388/.433/.486/.920. That’s one hell of a Cape Cod League slash line. Yes, I know it is fairly hitter-heavy in college summer leagues, but that’s still impressive for a guy who was at Marist last year. Conrad has been a force for the Red Foxes for the last two years and will take his talents to a Wake Forest team that needs some offensive pop. It’s a really fun and beautiful left-handed swing that has a good amount of raw pop. He chases quite a bit due to his aggressiveness on the plate, but he takes advantage of mistaken pitches when he connects. Despite his aggressiveness, he tends to have a very good feel for the strike zone. He’ll be tested in the SEC, but as mentioned earlier he has shown in a small sample size he can keep up with better arms. He pairs that solid ability at the plate with plus speed and had double-digit steals over the last two seasons at Marist. He’s a fringe-average defender with a strong arm who could be a very solid right fielder at the next level.



PITCHERS

LHP CADE FISHER (FLORIDA TO AUBURN) 

64 Analytics Portal Rank: #1

Cade Fisher was easily one of the most exciting names to enter the transfer portal this offseason and is a massive get for the Auburn Tigers. Pitching Coach Everett Teaford must be stoked to add him to that rotation. The former Florida Gator has a solid three-pitch mix that includes a fastball in the low-90s but has seen a max velo of 95 mph. He has some really good carry to that pitch. He pairs that with a slider and changeup. His slider has a ton of horizontal movement and absolutely fools hitters when he’s on with his command and control. The changeup plays well off his fastball and is a pretty good second secondary for him. Fisher comes at hitters with a low slot arm angle, creating some deception on his pitches. After a strong 2023, some command issues hurt Fisher in 2024, and his overall numbers took a step back. Fisher’s release point would vary, and the combination of walks and giving up hard contact led to him giving up quite a bit of runs. Fisher had a small sample size of three games in the Cape Cod League and flashed more success there in a hitter-friendly league. He opens up as a favorite to be in the rotation for the Auburn Tigers. 



LHP ZACH ROOT (ECU TO ARKANSAS)

64 Analytics Portal Rank: #3

A massive loss for ECU is a huge gain for the Arkansas Razorbacks who will have some stacked pitching going into 2025. Root found a ton of success during his tenure at ECU, pitching to the tune of a 3.82 ERA with 69 strikeouts in 63.2 innings for the Pirates. Root has a pretty well-filled out lower half that’s paired with quick arm actions. It’s a somewhat funky delivery that helps him get some deception. His fastball sits in the in the low-90s, but has been up to 97 mph. His secondaries are really what make him a threat on the mound. He goes to his change-up the most often as he’s willing to utilize it in any account tude to his good feel and command of the pitch. He hides the ball well with his funky delivery and the pitch drops away and out of the zone on hitters. His other secondary he goes to often is a slider, which has some cutter action to it at times, has some serious bite to it and he’s generated a ton of Whiff and Chase on this pitch as well. He rounds out the arsenal with a sweepy curveball. It’s a fun arm on it’s way to Fayetteville and a very successful season will boe well for the rising junior.

LHP LANDON BEIDELSCHIES (OHIO STATE TO ARKANSAS)

64 Analytics Portal Rank: #5

Another big arm heading to Arkansas. You’ll see that’s a common theme in this article on the pitching side. The Razorbacks snag one of the best starters in the BIG10. The 6’3, 225lb Beidelschies is a physical presence on the mound, and he isn’t afraid to attack hitters with his fastball/slider combo. Beidelschies fastball has been in the 90-94 MPH range and has even topped at 98 mph. It’s his go-to pitch, as he utilized it nearly 60% of the time and missed bats with it a ton. As mentioned earlier, he pairs that fastball with a very nasty slider, which he goes to just over 30% of the time. Its sharp bite helps him get some decent Chase and Whiff on the pitch. He also has a change-up and curveball, which he’s utilized much less frequently, but both have the makings of rounding out a solid four-pitch arsenal. There is some relief risk if he doesn’t polish up those other secondaries, but the projection is there and he will look to find success against some of the toughest bats in the SEC. 



RHP EVAN CHREST (JACKSONVILLE TO FLORIDA STATE)

64 Analytics Portal Rank: #9

Chrest isn’t as highly ranked as the other arms, but there is plenty of intrigue. The numbers in the stat sheet aren’t the prettiest, but the data behind them will interest most teams. His slider clocks in well above 2800 RPMs and induces a ton of chase. He’s got a developing fastball that sits in the low-90s and has topped out at 95 MPH. The two-pitch combo has helped him generate decent strikeout numbers, as he’s punched out 74 batters over 68.2 innings. He commands the slider decently as well. His changeup rounds out his three-pitch mix nicely, generating some decent Whiff on the pitch. He’s a bit undersized, coming in at 6’0, 180lbs and heading into his junior year, there might not be as much projectability left. But the already decent three-pitch mix and decent command for all of them will have teams interested on draft day. 



LHP LIAM DOYLE (OLE MISS TO TENNESSEE)

64 Analytics Portal Rank: #11

Doyle joins his Ole Miss teammate Andrew Fischer in making his way to Tennesee, giving the Volunteers a high strikeout rate arm to add to their rotation. Doyle has put up some insane strikeout numbers between Coastal Carolina and Ole Miss the past two seasons, striking out 153 batters in 111.1 innings. Doyle’s fastball ranges from 90 to 94 and has topped at 96 MPH. The metrics behind it make it an electric fastball that gets by hitters. The pitch averages over 20 inches of vertical carry, and he has decent extension on the pitch. His secondaries are a bit behind his fastball, but he has two secondaries in slider/sweeper and cutter. The slider is in the low-80s, and he’s still working on commanding the pitch better, as he is with most of his secondaries. He also has a splitter he’s flashed but hasn’t thrown nearly as much as the pitch still needs quite a bit of development. The 6’2, 220lb lefty is a presence on the mound and while there might not be a ton of room for growth, there is still lots of projection left in his arsenal that he will look to continue to build on at Tennessee. 

RHP JACOB MAYERS (NICHOLLS TO LSU)

64 Analytics Portal Rank: #12

Prospects Live Draft Rank: 

LSU lost a few arms to the MLB Draft as expected, but they still have plenty of incoming talent, including Jakob Mayers, who makes his way to campus from Nicholls. His fastball is explosive as it has a ton of spin, giving it lots of carry in the zone. It’s averaged 91-95 MPH, but has topped out at 97 MPH. He utilized his fastball at extremely high rates last year, but still generated a decent amount of Whiff with it and put in insane strikeout numbers as he punched out 106 batters in 70.2 innings. He did the same thing in his freshman year, striking out 105 batters in 75.2 innings. The next step for Mayers is going to be really developing his secondary pitches to give him more weapons. He’s flashed a decent slider that with some polish could be a very good second pitch for Mayers. 

Who's Hot and Who's Not? Digging into Initial Data for 2024 First Round Hitters

It’s hard to believe, but we’re two months out from the 2024 MLB Draft. The class was bouyed by a strong college hitting demographic, with many picks having made their debuts, giving us a glimpse into the type of hitters they may be as professionals, their assets, and limitations. In the next few weeks at Prospects Live, we’ll be checking in on some of the data tied to first round bats. All of these reports and write ups draw on relatively small sample sizes, many of them for prospects playing by far their most grueling year of baseball to date, so temper any significant conclusions drawn.

NOTE: All data for prospects was pulled prior to games on 09.05.24

Travis Bazzana, 1st Overall, Guardians, A+

Slash Line: .231/.364/.407 (.770)

25.5 K%, 13.6 BB%

78.5% Contact%

.343 xWOBA

.170/.276/.280 (.556) versus LHP

The Guardians were the biggest beneficiary of the draft lottery this cycle, moving up to number one to pick Travis Bazzana, fresh off an outstanding college season with Oregon State. After quickly assigning him to A+ Lake County, Bazzana is off to a solid, if unspectacular, start. Bazzana’s disciplined approach is on display. He’s seeing a whopping 4.36 P/PA (that’s near top of the scale for A ball), and walking at a healthy 13.6% clip. The bat-to-ball skills have shown up, too, as Bazzana is running a 78.5% Contact% through 25 games. Bazzana hasn’t clicked into high gear yet, and he’s been susceptible to left-handed pitching, managing just a .556 OPS against southpaws.

Charlie Condon, 3rd Overall, Rockies, A+

Slash Line: .184/.253/.276 (.528)

31.6 K%, 3.2 BB%

63.9% Contact%

.239 xWOBA

The Rockies assigned Charlie Condon to A+ Spokane after giving him a record-tying bonus, selecting him third overall. It’s been an extremely slow start for the prospect coming off a historic season at Georgia. Condon has shown some bat-to-ball concerns in his first 22 games, managing a 63.9 Contact% (~7% below average for the level). The approach has been rough, too, with a 10.00 K/BB thus far. It’s still very early for Condon as a professional, but it’s been a slow start.

Nick Kurtz, 5th Overall, Athletics, AA

Slash Line: .368/.520/.763 (1.283)

20 K%, 24 BB%

77.5% Contact%

.526 xWOBA

It’s extremely early for Kurtz, who the Athletics signed to an underslot deal to sign at number five overall. He’s played just 12 professional games but laid waste to Low A Stockton. Kurtz managed a 1.531 OPS in his first seven games and slugged four home runs and three doubles. The Athletics moved him to AA, where he’s off to a solid start (.785 OPS in five games). Kurtz displays patience and selectivity at the plate, seeing 4.24 P/PA and swinging just 37.7% of the time. While he’s shown some vulnerability striking out at a high clip against left-handed pitching, crucially, he’s maintaining his excellent approach against them, keeping a consistent platoon-neutral on base percentage. Kurtz is off to one of the best starts of any first-round hitter.

Jac Caglianone, 6th Overall, Royals, A+

Slash Line: .250/.318/.420 (.738)

21.8 K%, 6.4 BB%

74.1% Contact%

56.3% Swing%

.317 xWOBA

Caglianone was one of the most intriguing bats in the first round. Significant improvements in his strikeout rate and out of zone contact rate in his final year at Florida were offset by extreme chase rates, all coupled with monster raw power. How would this translate to professional baseball? Solidly, thus far. Caglianone is an aggressive hitter, with a swing rate close to 10% above MLB average. His improved bat-to-ball skills have carried over into professional baseball. He’s producing at a solid rate for the level despite running an 81.8% ground ball rate against left-handed pitchers.

JJ Wetherholt, 7th Overall, Cardinals, A

Slash Line: .235/.365/.306 (.671)

10.6 K%, 14.4 BB%

80.7% Contact%

13.6% Chase%

.340 xWOBA

104.1 mph 90thExitVel

53.3% Hit95+%

In the conversation for the number one overall pick coming into the 2024 cycle, Wetherholt missed significant time due to soft tissue injuries at West Virginia, eventually being selected at number seven overall by the Cardinals. While Wetherholt’s slash line is unspectacular, I’d argue that some of his under the hood numbers should have Cardinals fans encouraged. The bat to ball skills are as advertised, as Wetherholt is maintaining a Contact% ~10% above average for the level. He doesn’t chase much, and is walking more than he is striking out through his first 25 games as a professional. Wetherholt is crushing his batted balls, with 53.3% hit 95 mph or harder. That’s third best in A ball among prospects who have played at least 20 games. He’s been a victim of some bad batted ball luck thus far.

Christian Moore, 8th Overall, Angels, AA

Slash Line: .330/.381/.567 (.948)

26.7 K%, 7.6 BB%

65.2% Contact%

.403 xWOBA

The Angels continued their predictable tendency of drafting prospects they believe can make short work of the minor leagues and make an immediate impact with the big league roster. This year it was Tennessee slugger Christian Moore, who they signed underslot at 8th overall. Moore passed the test of stepping into the batter's box at A ball before being moved up to AA, where he went on an immediate heater. After slugging five home runs in his first six games for Rocket City, he was sidelined by a meniscus injury. Moore was maximizing his batted ball events before his injury (high line drive and pull percentages). Long term, the potential obstacles may be his bat to ball skills against higher caliber pitching, as he was managing a 65.2% Contact% prior to his injury. Undeniably though, Moore was off to the hot start the Angels hoped for. There’s no current timeline for his return to on-field action.

2024 MLB Draft Recap: Staff Picks

BEST OVERALL DRAFT CLASSES

Jared’s Pick: Colorado Rockies

The entire world thought the Cincinnati Reds would take Georgia 3B/OF Charlie Condon with the second overall pick after the Guardians took Travis Bazzana. But they shocked everyone and took Chase Burns. This allowed for Condon to fall right into the Rockies' lap. Condon put up video game numbers during the entire year, hitting 37 home runs while driving in 78 in 60 games. Just absurd. They followed that pick by taking RHP Brody Brecht, who has some of the best stuff in this draft class. The only knock on him is his command and control issues.

They continued their surge of solid players by taking OF Jared Thomas (one of the best pure hitters in the class) and C Cole Messina (3rd Round), an excellent clubhouse presence and is a complete gamer. They then took a tremendous senior sign, Blake Wright (4th Round), out of Clemson. The third baseman has power to all fields and improved his contact rates this year. They also took a couple of intriguing mid-major arms in LHP Konner Eaton (6th Round) out of George Mason and LHP Everett Catlett (12th Round) out of Georgetown. Eaton has an excellent fastball with great life to it and two good secondaries in his slider and changeup. A team should be able to build off of those. Catlett is a tall, lanky southpaw who has a presence on the mound. He hasn’t had a lot of miles on his arm due to some injuries. It's a good fastball that has been up to 96 and a solid slider to go with it. The Rockies have to be very happy with this draft class. 


Tyler’s Pick: Cincinnati Reds

Adding an arm like Chase Burns will always create excitement around a draft class, especially after we’ve seen a somewhat comparable talent in Paul Skenes at the major league level less than a year after being drafted. Though the Burns pick--especially the lack of savings--was surprising, the Reds soaked up value the rest of the way, apparently not needing any extra money to work with. In the end, they blended some high upside dart throws with a sturdy group of pro-ready collegiate performers. 


Tyson Lewis stands out as arguably the most toolsy non-Konnor Griffin player from this draft and they really hammered home a strong class of hitters adding plate discipline-maestro Mike Sirota (3rd Round), ultra-rounded Peyton Stovall (4th Round), intriguing backstop in Jacob Friend (6th Round), and a huge sleeper in Myles Smith (7th Round)--a twitchy outfield bat with excellent hitting aptitude. Adding quality and low-risk collegiate pitching in Luke Holman (CB-B) and Tristan Smith (5th Round) gives Cincinnati a real chance to produce more than one MLB rotation arm. Assuming the club can also sign prep shortstop Adrian Areizaga (14th Round), they’ll have a really fun blend of proximate MLB talents and projectable middle infield athletes.

Harris’ Pick: Pittsburgh Pirates

The Pirates had several quality options with the ninth overall pick, and went with the prep shortstop Konnor Griffin. Griffin is big and athletic with off-the-chart tools. His hit tool is less certain than that of a typical top-10 pick, but he has superstar potential.


The rest of Day 1 saw Pittsburgh go after a pair of surprisingly high-floor high school guys. Levi Sterling is a long, athletic right-hander with excellent strike-throwing ability and tons of projection, while Wyatt Sanford is arguably the best defensive shortstop in the class.


Third-rounder Josh Hartle was a top prep prospect in 2021 and had an up-and-down career at Wake Forest. His fastball lacks the necessary movement, but he throws tons of strikes and has two secondary pitches that flash plus. It isn’t crazy to imagine him being one of the better pitchers in the entire class— especially given how well Pittsburgh has developed arms in recent years.


Will Taylor is a toolsy outfielder who spent two years moonlighting as a wide receiver for the Clemson football team. As a result, he’s incredibly raw and unpolished at the plate, but he is super athletic and profiles as an above-average center fielder. He showed some improved power in 2024, as well. He’s a worthwhile dart throw in the fifth round.

Finally, eighth-round right-hander Gavin Adams is one of the more intriguing late-round selections. The JuCo transfer never got a chance to prove himself at the D1 level, as he underwent Tommy John surgery before taking the mound for Florida State. Adams is athletic and projectable with a triple-digits fastball, so it goes without saying that he comes with upside.

Overall, Pittsburgh built well for the future, adding plenty of talent to an already strong crop of prospects.


Switz’s Pick: Cleveland Guardians

I know picking the team with the number 1 overall pick and the most pool money as the best overall draft is very cliche. However, it's how the Guardians worked their money and pulled off the ability to land four prep arms with high ceilings for one of baseball's best pitching development systems while still taking the best dude in the draft by most rankings in Bazzana.

Further, when they didn't take a prep arm, they showed their usual tendencies of staying up the middle throughout the draft by taking one of the top catchers in this cycle of Cozart, a sleeper backstop in Thompson, and multiple college arms with distinctive attributes and stuff. After everything ended, the Guardians walked away with seven dudes inside Prospect Live's top 200 and reloaded their pitching depth (which is their bread and butter). Everyone knew that the Guardians were looking under slot with the first pick; however, no one knew the abilities they were planning with the saved money throughout the other two days of the draft. 


Patrick’s Pick: Boston Red Sox

The Red Sox had Braden Montgomery fall into their lap at the 12th overall pick. While there may be some question marks about whether he still switch-hits in pro ball and his defense, getting this type of player at pick 12 is certainly something to be excited about. After Montgomery, the Red Sox took an approach I love, going after data-friendly arms and hitters with on-base and defensive ability. Peyton Tolle was their 2nd round pick, who throws an elevator ball of a four-seamer and will flash a plus changeup, followed by Gators stopper Brandon Neely in the 3rd.

Blake Aita features a frisbee slider with a well-shaped fastball, and Brandon Clarke has crazy arm speed and a flashed feel for secondaries. Devin Futrell is a big-bodied left-hander with a good carry and a good velo fastball. On the bat side, Zach Ehrhard is a twitchy center fielder with on-base skills and will play a nice center field. Will Turner had a down season in 2024 after a career year at the plate in 2023, but can still play a plus centerfield. Conrad Cason was drafted as a two-way player and has the discipline and crazy pop at the plate to go with hellacious arm speed on the mound. 


Jeff’s Pick: Arizona Diamondbacks

A lot of the value in this class comes from day one. They grabbed two of my top 15 with their first two selections. While teams worried about Slade Caldwell's size and Ryan Waldschimdt's knees, the Diamondbacks snapped up fantastic talent. Caldwell would have been the top prep player if he was 6 inches taller. There are questions about power, but no doubt he can handle centerfield and has some of the best physical traits in the class.


Wadschimdt's batted ball data was excellent across the board. He didn't chase, had excellent exit velocity, and great contact data. The bat will play wherever. I was the high one on JD Dix, and I think if he had been healthy, he would have gone much earlier. I saw some JJ Wetherholt in the profile. Daniel Eagen looks like a potential back-end starter who got better all year. Tytus Cissell has a lot of similar traits to Dix but with more athleticism and less of a chance to stick at short. Conor Foley is a considerable risk, both literally and figuratively. Indiana has quietly become a pitching factory, and Foley stood out for his fastball this year. He is a plus athlete with two plus offerings. If his command can be worked on, there is a lot of upside with a nice reliever floor. I was not super familiar with Ivan Luciano, but there are worse coaches for a young Puerto Rican catcher than Yadier Molina. They let the draft come to them and came away with an excellent mix of players. 


As a bonus, they also made the best name selection in the entire class when, with pick 254 of the 10th round, they took Trent Youngblood from Transylvania University. He became the first pick ever from Transylvania University. I don't believe in draft grades, but they are auto A. 

FAVORITE PICKS

Jared’s Pick: RHP Drew Beam (3rd Round, 76th Pick, Kansas City Royals)

Now I know what you’re thinking… “Jared is being a homer here,” but I promise I’m not! Beam came in as Prospects Live’s #47 overall prospect, and it is not hard to see why. Sure, there’s nothing flashy in his pitch mix, but he has been one of the SEC's most reliable and top-performing arms for three years. It is about as safe of a floor as you can find and one of the safest bets to make it to the major leagues as a back-of-the-rotation starter. It’s a polished pitcher who throws many strikes with a decent four-pitch mix. Maybe the Royals can unlock a bit more in Beam with their new way of pitching development. The Royals have to be happy with him falling to them at 76.

Patrick’s Pick: BHP Jurrangelo Cijntje (1st Round, 15th Pick, Seattle Mariners)

Cijntje is famous for being a both-handed pitcher. However, he exclusively threw right-handed for most of the season for Mississippi State. From the right side, Cijntje is 93-96 and up to 98 with a high carry, low release fastball. His slider is his go-to secondary, which is generally in the mid 80’s with an average sweep. However, the Mariners’ pitching factory has shown they can develop breakers just as well as anyone, and Cijntje has the ideal arm path for a sweeper. On top of this, the newly exclusive right-hander will flash an above-average changeup. There’s a lot to like here, and given Cijntje has spent his whole career throwing with both hands, focusing on one side may give a

developmental boost, on top of the Mariners’ midas touch pitching development.

Tyler’s Pick: Ariel Armas (5th Round, 153rd Pick, Chicago Cubs)

Maybe I’ll look like a homer for going out on a limb with a lesser-known 5th rounder, but Armas flew under the radar as one of the best defensive backstops I’ve seen at the amateur level. The San Diego product is a legit pro defender and should need little refinement on that end to reach the big leagues; he’s a gunner with his arm, an excellent blocker, and has smooth framing skills. Armas isn’t going to light up box scores with his bat, but there are above average bat-to-ball skills here with a quality approach. Should Armas emerge as an average hitter, he has the upside of a high-end backup catcher.


Switz’s Pick: LHP Cam Caminiti (1st Round, 24th Pick, Atlanta Braves)

Many teams will look back on this pick and ask why we let him fall to Atlanta. The Braves have been notorious for some time now within their pitching development, to the point that agents are very comfortable having their dudes fall in the draft to see them get selected by the Braves. This seems like another scenario, as many mocked Caminiti as a first-half-of-the-first-round type of dude and ended up being a dream situation for Atlanta. 


A big-league bloodline prodigy, Cam has been a must-watch arm within the prep circuit for some time now by lighting up the radar guns with an FB in the mid-90s topping up to 98 and possessing two breaking balls that look like they could become plus offerings in the near future. He displays advanced mechanics, good balance, and desired repeatability of his fluid operation for his age (the reason for his reclassification). He’s been a wrecking ball against LHHs and seems to be on the trajectory that he could momentarily be a high-upside starting arm in Truist Park when the dust settles on his development. 


Jeff's Pick: RHP Luke Sinnard (3rd Round, 99th Pick, Atlanta Braves)

Luke Sinnard had some travels and travails in college. He started at Western Kentucky, then transferred to Indiana, and then needed Tommy John Surgery, but he didn't pitch this past season. Yet when he did get to pitch it was at the combine where he posted some of the best spin rates of any pitcher at the entire combine. The year before, he broke a nearly 90-year-old strikeout record at Indiana. He is a massive kid at 6'8" and 250 pounds. Yet he also posted excellent control numbers in school. His size and extension make his velocity play up, which pairs with the high spin rates on his curve and slider, making him a player I kept moving up boards. While the injury cost him his season, he might be able to pitch in the minors for Atlanta this year, helping him recover time. I see a large pitcher who missed bats, had excellent walk rates, and had two pitches with exceptional spin data, and I still feel like he could have gone higher. 


Harris’ Pick: RHP Trey Yesavage (1st Round, 20th Pick, Toronto Blue Jays)

Yesavage had some buzz in the top 10 but fell all the way down to the 20th overall pick, likely due to a lung injury. East Carolina’s Friday night starter turned in back-to-back dominant seasons in 2023 and 2024, striking out 250 hitters while walking just 55 over 169.1 innings. His collegiate career ended with a win over Wake Forest — the same Wake Forest team that turned out three top-10 picks earlier this month — out dueling Chase Burns and limiting Nick Kurtz and Seaver King to one combined hit in six plate appearances.

Yesavage has a prototypical starter’s frame and a dangerous four-pitch mix. His slider and splitter are especially dangerous, and he commands his entire arsenal very well. He’s a high-floor prospect with a No. 2 starter upside and could be one of the first big leaguers from this class. Compared to the highest-drafted college arms — Chase Burns and Hagen Smith — Yesavage is a fairly sure thing, given his strike-throwing ability.

As of this writing, Yesavage and the Blue Jays have yet to finalize a contract, but that will presumably happen before the Aug. 1 deadline and likely for over-slot value. Regardless of what the signing bonus ends up being, Yesavage could end up being the steal of the draft.

BIGGEST SURPRISE PICKS

Jared’s Pick: OF PJ Morlando (1st Round,16th Pick, Miami Marlins)

This wasn’t a surprise pick because it was bad; I expected Morlando to go near the back half of the first or during the comp rounds. The Marlins saw something they liked, and there might be a slight chance they could under-slot him, though it could be tough to do so given his commitment to South Carolina). Morlando possesses a ton of raw power but has struggled to tap into it during games. He’s got a patient approach at the plate, but he could be too patient, so he hasn’t fully tapped into his power. He showed off his massive pop at the MLB Draft Combine by hitting four balls over 110 mph. That showing could be part of the reason he flew up boards for some teams. He has great athleticism and average speed/arm, so he’s likely manning a corner outfield position. While a shocking pick, it is still not a bad one for the Marlins, especially with how the rest of their draft ended. 

Switz’s Pick: RHP Chase Burns (1st Round, 2nd Pick. Cincinnati Reds)

My heart has to go with the Reds here, as all noise indicated they would take a bat profile. Since Krall took over the helm of the Reds' front office, he has stated that the Reds' plan is to rejuvenate their pitching development and provide a consistent pipeline of fresh young arms to the major leagues. This has been apparent in recent years due to their acquisitions and draft strategies. Burns complements the young pitching talent well and should be an exciting, high-octane arm to watch for the Reds in a few years.

Patrick’s Pick: 3B Billy Amick (2nd Round, 60th Pick, Minnesota Twins)

I was surprised to see Amick go about 10-20 picks later than I anticipated for him, but what surprised me most was seeing a generally model-driven team in the Twins jump on him. Amick is a guy who expands the zone a bit and doesn’t make a lot of contact, which grades poorly on many models. However, he’s made strides at 3rd base, looking like an everyday guy there, and the power is outrageous to all fields. Getting this type of power at pick 60 was an opportunity the Twins couldn’t pass up on. 

Jeff's Pick: OF Braylon Payne (1st Round, 17th Pick, Milwaukee Brewers)

I don't think I saw a mock mentioning Payne before the Competitive Balance Picks, and rarely then. For Locked On, I was asked to make 40 draft videos for the players who could go in round one. Honestly, I never considered Payne. It's not just that, though. It's the Brewers also making this pick. The most conservative team in the first round of the draft. They had not taken a prep player since Brice Turang; since that has worked out, maybe they felt more comfortable doing it here. It's a combination of a team that doesn't draft high school players with their top pick and a player that I didn't ever think would go in the teens that made this one an audible gasp for me on draft night.

Harris’ Pick: SS/OF Seaver King (1st Round, 10th Pick, Washington Nationals)

Seaver King can run. There’s no question about that. But his other four tools are less of a sure thing.

He’s a free swinger who frequently chases out of the zone and falls behind in the count. There is some power potential, given his bat speed and impressive top-end exit velocities, but he doesn’t have much strength or any physical projection remaining, plus his swing path is geared more for line drives.


While he has displayed some defensive versatility this year, his hands and defensive actions are not up to par for playing on the dirt at the next level. The Nationals left plenty of superior college bats on the board, and it’s not even as if King was a significant money saver— he received a signing bonus north of $5 million, more than that of both Christian Moore and Cam Smith.

BIGGEST SLEEPER PICKS

Jared’s Pick: OF Casey Cook (3rd Round, 103rd Pick, Texas Rangers)

I talked about Beam having one of the safest floors as a pitcher earlier, but Cook might be one of the safest floors you can find from a bat in this draft. It’s a beautiful left-handed swing, and he controls the strike zone well. He is definitely hit over power, but he’s been able to drive the ball a bit more and saw an increase in power this year as he hit 18 home runs. He also has some defensive concerns due to limited speed. He will likely end up a left fielder. Regardless, Cook flew up a lot of teams’ boards due to his bat, and while he doesn’t have the hype of a first-rounder, Cook could be a quick riser in the minors, and he could find a lot of success. 

Patrick’s Pick: Brandon Neely (3rd round, 86th pick, Boston Red Sox)

Neely probably teeters the line of sleeper, given his fame as Florida’s stopper during their run to the College World Series the past two seasons, but I was a little surprised to see him fall this far. Neely excelled out of the bullpen for the Gators, but I think Boston will give him a chance to start, similar to the career path of current Mets prospect and former Gator Christian Scott. Neely has been up to 97, and is generally 92-95 in his longer bullpen appearances. His fastball doesn’t have outlier movement, but his low release height allows it to play better than the movement profile would expect.

On top of this, Neely hides the ball incredibly well, starting with his front shoulder closed and coming across his body at the foot plant. While this crossfire delivery may create injury concerns, it’s possible Neely can tone it down a tad while still keeping the same deception. Neely’s go to secondary is a tight spinning, 84-87 MPH slider. This pitch gets an average sweep, but given its velocity, it’s really above-average sweep. Neely has shown the ability to manipulate the shape of this pitch given the batters’s handiness, and land it in the zone consistently. Compared to left-handed hitters, Neely mainly uses his slider but has mixed in a 78 MPH sweeping curveball and will even flash an above-average changeup in the high 80s. What I think a pro team will do with his arsenal, if starting is the path they decide to take, is make his slider even tighter and harder.

Neely looks like he’d be a prime candidate for a sweeper. He has the arm path that teams look for, and has shown the ability to supinate given his ability to mix in a more bigger curveball. While he’s flashed an above-average changeup, finding a way to spin to left-handed hitters seems like the better path for Neely.

Jeff's Pick: 3B Sean Keys (Round 4, 125th Pick, Toronto Blue Jays)

If one lists everything that would make a player a sleeper, it would all come together in Sean Keys. He is a small school, cold weather player with elite data and stats. He was one of the best hitters on the Cape a year ago, showing power and an ability to face the best of the best and fit right in. He is also a young junior not having turned 21 until the very end of May. He was one of five players who had the highest distribution scores for chase, 90th percentile exit velocity, and contact rates in college baseball. On top of this all he is an incredibly smart kid who is a mechanical engineering student with videos out there on robotics. The only things he is missing from the upside bingo chart are bloodlines and an elite position. If not for the Cape I would be more concerned but he was one of the best even when he faced the best.

Harris’ Pick: OF Casey Saucke (Round 3, 107th Pick, Chicago White Sox)

Casey Saucke arrived in Charlottesville as a projectable, bat-first player with tons of power potential. He never quite tapped into that power at Virginia, but he still possesses impressive bat speed and raw strength, so there’s reason to believe he can become a dangerous power hitter at the next level with some mechanical adjustments. The strikeout numbers aren’t concerning, and while no one would describe him as overly patient, he is willing to draw the occasional walk. He’s limited to a corner outfield spot, but his strong arm would play well in right.

Now, it’s hard to give the White Sox the benefit of the doubt in terms of player development, but Saucke does have the tools to turn into an everyday corner outfielder on the back of a typical power/arm combination.

FAVORITE LATE ROUND PICKS

Jared’s Pick: OF Ian Petrutz (12th Round, 351st Pick, St. Louis Cardinals)

Petrutz was a highly touted prospect during his freshman and sophomore years at Maryland. He followed when his Head Coach, Rob Vaughn, went to Alabama. The jump to the SEC didn’t seem to phase Petrut either. Contact is the name of the game for him, as he has an impressive approach at the plate and an excellent feel for the strike zone. When he makes contact, he also hits the ball hard. He’s the type of bat you draft, hoping that he can tweak his swing to tap into more of his power. Petrutz gets dinged mostly for his lack of defensive positioning, and he’s likely to be manning left field in the future due to his limited speed and lack of an arm—a fun late pick for the Cardinals, who has some upside. 

Switz’s Pick: RHP Titan Hayes (11th round, 342nd Pick, Philadelphia Phillies)

I love the day three value of Hayes here for Philly by taking a data darling arm that can spin the ball very well. It all starts with an upper-90s FB that topped 99 this summer on the Cape with easy life and desirable movement that Hayes loves to attack in the zone. He already has a plus putaway pitch in his SL. When you watch him play, the dude consistently generates whiffs and has a desirable bulldog mentality on the bump. I could easily see him as a fast-rising RP within the Phillies system to look out for.


Patrick’s Pick: RHP Caedmon Parker (11th Round, 335th Pick, Milwaukee Brewers)

Parker was highly touted out of high school for his projectability and delivery, so much that it almost got him a few million dollars. Parker elected to go to TCU where he battled injuries and lack of strike-throwing. His draft year however, Parker looks to have turned a page. He showed a great ability to command his hard gyro slider and big low 80’s sweeping curveball out of the Horned Frogs bullpen. Parker still has plenty of room to fill out, and at 92-94 and a nice cut carry action, Parker’s fastball can get even better. You may even see the Brewers implement a seam shifted wake sinker, something that is possible with the way Parker cuts his fastball. With feel for spin, projectability, and a strong prospect pedigree, Parker is a fun developmental piece to follow.


Jeff's Pick: 1B Jeremiah Jenkins (14th Round, 418th Pick, San Francisco Giants)

The fact Jeremiah Jenkins slid to the 14th round and only got slot still boggles my mind. When I was trying to decide on my favorite late pick I started looking at 90th percentile exit velocities and then trying to find players who weren't a net negative with contact or chase while having elite exit velocity. There were two players, Jackson and Lyle Miller-Green. It was easy to separate the two as there was a three-year age gap between them. With Jenkins having just turned 21 at the start of May and Miller turning 24 in September. Jenkins is a small school player but he did what was needed to perform at a high level, access his power, and not strike out too much. There are reasons for concern. I wish we had seen him in one of the upper-tier summer leagues and that he had not struggled in a lesser one a year ago. Yet power is the most expensive trait to acquire in baseball, and finding a power hitter late with growth potential whose batted ball profile did not have red flags, especially for slot, is a fantastic get for the Giants. 

Harris’ Pick: LHP Dalton Pence (11th Round, 345th Pick, Texas Rangers)

Sure, this is a bit of a homer pick. But I also have the benefit of seeing Dalton Pence live more than a dozen times over the last two years. The left-hander was easily Carolina’s best reliever in 2024, and especially showed up in some big moments against LSU, West Virginia and Virginia in the NCAA tournament.

Pence has flashed a quality slider and changeup, but his repertoire is incredibly fastball-heavy. The heater sits in the 92-94 range with excellent carry, and profiles as a real swing-and-miss pitch. He’s clearly a reliever — a limited pitch mix, average-at-best control and no track record of starting in college don’t point to a guy starting in pro ball — but he’s been one of the nation’s best over the last two seasons. An 11th-rounder on a potential big league reliever is a bargain.

FAST MOVERS

Jared’s Pick: RHP Tyson Neighbors (Round 4, 118th Pick, San Diego Padres)

Tyson Neighbors is your guy if you were looking for a reliever who could quickly ascend to the big leagues. The Kansas State closer has been a force for the Wildcats in the back end of their bullpen. He dealt with some injuries this year, but in 2023, he struck out an insane 86 batters in 48.2 innings. It’s a mid-90s fastball that has reached 99 mph with insane IVB. The crazier part is that it isn’t even his best pitch. He has two breaking balls, a slider that is in the upper-80s which is his primary pitch for swing and miss, and a curveball that has insane bite. Both have crazy spin rates to them. It’s three-plus pitches, and he will likely not need much time in the minor leagues to develop. Padres fans will be excited to have Neighbors in their bullpen very soon! 

Patrick’s Pick: Blake Burke (CB-A, 32nd Pick, Milwaukee Brewers)

Burke might be a step towards a trend of the Brewers drafting crazy power early in the draft, after taking Brock Wilken in the first last year. Picking a power-over-hit bat to move fast may be a little crazy, but Burke was one of the most polished hitters in the country in 2024, and possesses double plus raw power. While the chase numbers are high, Burke has shown the ability to pick up on a pitchers approach, as well as limit his strikeouts with a nice two strike approach. This type of skill set should move him up the ladder quickly, and if he’s able to continue to cut down on his swings outside of the zone, he may be up even quicker. While a power over hit guy may not be considered a fast mover, I believe Burke’s experience combined with the Brewers player development machine are a good combination. 

Switz’s Pick: RHP Louis-Philippe Langevin (Round 4, 105th Pick, KC Royals)

Earlier, I mentioned that Hayes could be a fast riser due to his pure stuff, and he could also fit here. Instead, I'm going to pivot to Canada's greatest export in this draft class of L.P Langevin. A dude who could have easily been selected last year out of Wabash, who displayed filthy stuff within the MLB Draft League with the WV Black Bears in 2023 that later ended up with the Ragin Cajuns this spring. Langevin has some of the most fascinating fastball traits and metrics in this class and is a dude that, if chosen as a reliever arm for the next level (and is most likely a possibility), could skyrocket through the Royals system, similarly as we saw in Orion Kerkering in the Phillies system. Who similarly mostly pitches off a fastball/slider combination. However, L.P. has started incorporating a CUT and a CH more often in his offerings from this spring as he first bounced back and forth between the starting rotation and bullpen before ending up as their reliable back-end arm (“cough-cough” Kierking at South Florida). 


Langevin's fastball is in the low 90s and touches 96 MPH. It has a good combo of riding life and arm-side run, which overwhelms hitters in the box. I'm higher on his slider than most analysis and draft gurus are; however, it's a mid-80s slider with a high spin (2,500-2,800 rpm) and sharp action. It's a potential plus offering that could be a consistent swing-and-miss pitch at the next level, as he carved up a 70% whiff rate in his short stint in the Draft League last summer and over 38% with the SL this spring, with the hopes the Royals develop it further as a putaway pitch within their developmental level. 


Langevin emerged this spring as one of the most effective back-end arms in college baseball for the Ragin Cajuns. I envision him carrying this momentum and success into the Royals system and skyrocketing as a fast mover to help the back end of the depleted Royals major league squad very soon. 

Jeff's Pick: Travis Bazzana (Round 1, 1st Pick, Cleveland Guardians)

I started this out by talking about the Angels trio of relief arms but then it kind of felt like cheating so instead let's look at the first pick in the draft. The detractors for Travis Bazzana were focused on him being physically maxed out and his swing also being already maxed. He has done the work already so the bigger focus is for him to get used to velocity and advanced secondary pitches. While there is some truth to this, telling Bazzana he can’t do something never works out. Right now though it is less about his skills and more about exposure for him. The Guardians placed him right into High A, and some of the talk has made it sound like he could be on a path similar to Wyatt Lanford a year ago. Plus I had to talk about a Guardians player somewhere. 

TOP GUYS HEADING OR RETURNING TO CAMPUS

Jared’s Pick: OF Harrison Didawick (Virginia)

Didawick was someone I came away extremely impressed with during my live looks. He was a draft-eligible sophomore but will return to campus for his junior year at Virginia. He hit 23 long balls and drove in 68 while stealing 14 bags for the Cavaliers At the plate, Didawick was able to showcase his power to all fields from the left side, but he did struggle with strikeouts. The power comes from his bat speed coupled with his strength. Despite his strong, well-built frame, he still holds own defensively and on the base paths. Virginia, who made a run to the College World Series, have to be excited about getting Didawick back to campus. 

Patrick’s Pick: Jalin Flores (Texas)

Flores is a lanky glove first shortstop that was a draft eligible sophomore this past season. It’s plus arm strength and utility to go with plus range and actions and a pro ball body. While he put up some stupid numbers in the Big 12 and was likely to go in the pick 100 range, proving himself at the plate in the SEC could boost him into Day 1 territory. While his plate skills aren’t great (big chase rates, average contact rates), the power and bat speed is real to go along with a demonstrated ability to pull the ball in the air. The new Longhorns staff has to be pretty excited about getting their everyday shortstop back to campus.

Switz’s Pick: INF Luis Hernandez (Indiana St. to LSU)

He's not a guy who was considered a top dude going into the draft, as many teams removed his name after he transferred to LSU. However, Luis was a dynamic contact hitter for the Sycamores this spring and was a guy I thought would generate late day 2 - early day 3 consideration before Jay Johnson swooped in and landed him for the 2025 season. Below is a report I wrote on Hernandez before he was removed from most boards. 


One of the few prospects in this class that hails from the island of Puerto Rico, Hernandez is an offensive piece within the Indiana State lineup that busted out this spring with an impressive 21 home runs, 70 RBIs, and an OPS over 1.000 heading into the NCAA Tourney while displaying an impressive 26-game on-base streak early this spring. During his time with the Sycamores, Hernandez has always found a way to get into the lineup with his consistent offensive prowess and contact abilities. However, he has jumped around within the program as the Sycamores coaching staff have tried to find the best way to maximize his value. As an underclassman, he was recruited as a catcher and, after his first year, made the change to full-time as a DH and 1B. 

Offensively, we see a lot of Yandy Diaz in Hernandez's offensive profile for the next level as a low swing/miss type hitter that can spray bullets all over the park with backspin for line drive base hits (average over power type hitter). Luis has the ability to control the strike zone well and drive up pitch counts during ABs on pitchers. In the box, he presents a straight stance with a wide lower half and a hitch in his back leg that plays tight to the dish. Before contact, Hernandez stays in his lower half and back hip longer, which helps him generate more bat speed. He's a short-stroke swinger with a good feel for the barrel and a disciplined approach. The breakout in power this spring shows some healthy signs that the developing raw power is on its way, but his approach is not geared toward creating the loft necessary to hit homers. 

Defensively, he is limited, as seen at the college level. Pro teams may test out his versatility due to his strong arm, quick actions, and good footwork in the field. He does an awesome job charging the baseball and gaining ground for a corner player, and he could project into a Spencer Steer defensive profile at the next level."

Jeff's Pick: LHP Ryan Prager (Texas A&M)

Now this one feels like cheating as he was drafted but announced he is returning to school. It is very rare for a player to be taken on the first two days and not sign. Prager was one of the best pitchers in the NCAA in his first year back from Tommy John Surgery excelling in environments that almost no one excelled in. He should be all the way back from his injury next year, and if he can add some velocity then he could potentially improve his draft position. The big knock on Prager has been the lack of added mph since high school. Either way, he stands with Jaime Arnold as the top two arms I can't wait to see pitch next year. If he can level up next year he could be the best pitcher in the NCAA next year.

Harris’ Pick: LHP Cade Obermueller (Iowa)

As of this moment, it’s undetermined whether Cade Obermueller will sign with the Texas Rangers or return to Iowa. But a draft-eligible sophomore falling to the end of the 19th round usually points in the direction of a return to school. Obermueller impressed in his first season in Iowa’s rotation, and were he to return to campus, he would undoubtedly become the Hawkeyes’ Friday night guy.

Obermueller is an undersized southpaw with a low arm slot, two plus secondaries and major control issues. He rarely gets hit hard, and generates tons of whiffs on his slider. There’s certainly reliever risk given a lack of control, but any sort of improvement in that area would make Obermueller an intriguing option in next year’s class.

2024 MLB Draft: Which Teams Had the Best Draft Class?

It’s wild that the 2024 MLB Draft has come to an end. It feels like Tyler and I were launching the On The Clock podcast yesterday, and fall-ball was just starting. Now that we’ve come down from the high of the draft, it’s time to do some recaps and break down some of the picks and team hauls. We will continue our breakdown by going through the teams that had some of the best hauls on draft day.  


Draft Live Stream | Top 300 Prospects | Regional Board Rankings 

Day One Recap | Final Recap | Best Value Picks 


Cleveland Guardians 

You will likely do well in the draft when you have the most money. The Guardians took full advantage of having the largest bonus pool. They kicked off the start of the draft by taking Travis Bazzana out of Oregon State. It was rumored leading up to the draft that it would be him or West Virginia shortstop JJ Wetherholt. Bazzana came in around $1.6 million underslot, giving the Guardians plenty of money to spend later in the draft. They continued their day one, drafting highly-touted prep right-hander Braylon Doughty and possibly the second-best catcher in the draft in Jacob Cozart. Doughty is an arm that has already had his fastball up to 96 mph and a breaking ball that hovers around an insane 3,000 RPM. Cozart offensively offers a ton of upside and is one of the best defensive catchers behind the plate.

2B Travis Bazzana

Cleveland's excitement didn’t stop on day one. To start day two, they took another high-upside prep arm, Joey Oakie, out of the state of Iowa. He’s another arm with loud stuff, as his fastball is in the mid-90s and has topped at 97 mph. They followed by taking two more highly touted prep arms, Cameron Sullivan in the 7th round and Chase Mobley in the 10th round. Sullivan features a fastball up to 97 mph and a power slider in the high-80s to low-90s. Mobley is full of projection and an outstanding athlete. His electric fastball has topped out at 97 mph with a ton of two-seam action. They rounded out their draft with other intriguing arms, including RHP Aidan Major out of West Virginia, LHP Rafe Schlesinger out of Miami, and RHP Cam Schuelke out of Mississippi State. Sixteen of the Guardians' 21 picks were pitchers. This is a good sign for a team that has been successful in developing arms. 

SS Konnor Griffin

Pittsburgh Pirates

The Pittsburgh Pirates pulled together a draft class with some fun upside. Every time the Pirates' pick was announced for the first three rounds of the draft, I just thought, “Ohhh I like that!”. The Pirates had the ninth overall pick and seemed to strike gold when Konnor Griffin fell to them. There were talks that Griffin might go as high as the Chicago White Sox or Kansas City Royals pick. Griffin was the consensus best prep player in the 2024 MLB Draft, and he’s full of upside and projection. The guy oozes tools. He’s got a ton of bat speed and power combined with a reasonably mature approach at the plate. He also stole an insane 85 bases this spring. The Pirates seemed exactatic to land him at number nine.

The Pirates followed that pick with two more prep guys full of upside in RHP Levi Sterling out of California and SS Wyatt Sanford out of Texas. They took Sterling with their Comp-A pick. Sterling already has a four-pitch mix with an effortless delivery on the mound. He’s already in the low 90s with his fastball, and he pairs it with solid low-to-mid 80s changeup and a very effective sweeper. He’s an athletic kid with great potential, given his ability to throw strikes and room for growth. Sanford is about as exciting as they come for a prep bat. He ranked #28 overall for us, and there was some thought he might go in the first round or comp picks, but he fell to the Pirates in the second. It’s a beautiful left-handed swing, and he can utilize it in the entire field. He battles at the plate and draws some high walk rates. He’s also athletic enough to play anywhere on the field. The athleticism and mature approach are exciting things for the Pirates to build on. 

LHP Josh Hartle

They didn’t stop there. The Pirates got some interesting college players to help counteract the upside prep guys they drafted. In the fourth round, they took LHP Josh Hartle out of Wake Forest; in the 5th round, they took OF Will Taylor out of Clemson; in the 6th round, they took RHP Matt Ager out of UC Santa Barbara; in the 10th round, they took C Derek Berg out of Army, and in the 16th round they took RHP Brian Curley out of VCU. All of these guys are intriguing players in my eyes. Hartle faced some struggles this past year, but his dominant 2023, where he struck out 140 batters over 102.1 innings pitched, lets you know that more is in the tank. Taylor was a two-sport star at Clemson and is a hit-over-power profile; although he struggles against lefties, he has plenty of athleticism and upside. Berg and Curley are two interesting mid-majors who succeeded at Army and VCU.

OF PJ Morlando

Miami Marlins

This was one of my favorite day hauls from day one. There is lots of upside and a fun arm in Aiden May. They started with Morlando, who came in at #27 on our top 300 board. He puts up insane power numbers in BP, shown off at the MLB Draft Combine (4 balls over 110mp EV), but he has struggled to get into that power in the game (somewhat due to being intentionally walked a lot). Lots of upside with this pick. They followed that pick with even more upside by taking Carter Johnson at 56, who is #32 on our board. The Alabama shortstop has a ton of upside at the plate due to his mature approach. The Marlins rounded out by taking right-handed pitcher Aiden May out of Oregon State. May got on the map when he went toe-to-toe with Arkansas lefty Hagen Smith during his seventeen-strikeout game.

Colorado Rockies

3B/OF Charlie Condon

The entire world thought the Cincinnati Reds would take Georgia 3B/OF Charlie Condon with the second overall pick after the Guardians took Travis Bazzana. But they shocked everyone and took Chase Burns. This allowed for Condon to fall right into the Rockies' lap. Condon put up video game numbers during the entire year, hitting 37 home runs while driving in 78 in 60 games. Just absurd. They followed that pick by taking RHP Brody Brecht, who has some of the best stuff in this draft class. The only knock on him is his command and control issues. 


They continued their surge of solid players by taking OF Jared Thomas (one of the best pure hitters in the class) and C Cole Messina (3rd Round), an excellent clubhouse presence and is a complete gamer. They then took a tremendous senior sign, Blake Wright (4th Round), out of Clemson. The third baseman has power to all fields and improved his contact rates this year. They also took a couple of intriguing mid-major arms in LHP Konner Eaton (6th Round) out of George Mason and LHP Everett Catlett (12th Round) out of Georgetown.

Eaton has an excellent fastball with great life and two good secondaries in his slider and changeup. A team should be able to build off of those. Catlett is a tall, lanky southpaw with a presence on the mound. He hasn’t had a lot of miles on his arm due to some injuries. It's a good fastball that has been up to 96 and a solid slider to go with it. The Rockies have to be very happy with this draft class. 

SS Bryce Rainer

Detroit Tigers

Man, do the Detroit Tigers have an enjoyable class of players They kicked things off by taking the second-best prep player not named Konnor Griffin in this draft. SS Bryce Rainer is full of tons of upside. Although he has two-way abilities, the Tigers took Rainer just as a shortstop. It’s easy to see why they love the bat so much. It’s a beautiful left-handed swing, and he has the potential to develop some pop. He did have some swing-and-miss issues, and he might need to change his approach at the plate. But the upside is immense. Even though he won’t be on the mound, he’s been up to 96 mph from there, so you know he’s got some solid arm strength on the field. He could fit at shortstop or quickly shift to third if he grows in size as projected—just an enjoyable first pick. 

The Tigers closed out day one, continuing their prep trend by taking RHP Owen Hall in the second round and LHP Ethan Schiefelbein in the CB-B. We had Owen Hall on our On The Clock podcast, and what an incredible kid. On top of that, he has a lot of projectability on the mound. The fastball sits around 92-95 but has been up to 98 mph. He pairs that with two breaking balls. The stuff needs some polishing as it is inconsistent from time to time, but there is a lot to love with his profile. Schiefelbein is another guy that is projectable as the fastball velocity hasn’t been great (upper-80s/lower-90s), but he has been up to 94 mph. He’s got more of a feel for his pitches and should be a fun project for the Tigers. 

OF Jackson Strong

The Tigers paired all those prep guys with some fun college guys, including RHP Michael Massey out of Wake Forest, SS Woody Hadeen out of UC Irvine, RHP Josh Randall out of the University of San Diego, and OF Jackson Strong out of Canisius College. I saw Strong in the MLB Draft League, and man, it is an impressive approach at the plate. He has great barrel-to-ball skills that doesn’t come with a ton of Whiff or Chase. Woody Hadeen is a guy who skyrocketed up boards. Joe Doyle was one of the first guys on him. Hadeen is older for the class, but it is some of the best bat-to-ball skills. In our write up, we had him with an overall contact rate ~90% and a chase rate under 15%. Michael Massey was an electric arm for Wake Forest before suffering from some injuries this year. 

1B/LHP Jac Caglianone

Kansas City Royals 

The Royals didn’t have extra draft bonus pool money after trading their 39th overall pick to the Washington Nationals for big-league reliever Hunter Harvey. Despite that lack of extra bonus pool money, they did a heck of a job getting a good haul on draft day. Their day one started with college superstar Jac Caglianone falling into their laps at 6. The Royals took him as a two-way player and plan to develop him at both. The upside at the plate is enormous. It’s plus-plus power, and for a guy who swings at everything, it is insane to think he only struck out 8.2% of the time last year. His walk rate skyrocketed to 18.4% this year, but that has a lot to do with being intentionally walked. He had more intentional walks than strikeouts. The Royals wrapped up day one, taking left-handed prep pitcher David Shields out of Pennsylvania. He was a guy they wanted at 39, but he still fell to them at 41. 

Going into day two, they went with some arms with a safer floor than their high-upside pick in David Shields. They started with two fantastic adds, RHP Drew Beam and RHP LP Langevin. Beam might be one of the safest floor picks in the draft as a guy who can make the major leagues. He has been one of the SEC's most consistent and reliable starters over the last few years. Langevin has an electric fastball with nutty data, including a 45% overall whiff rate and 42% in-zone whiff rate. They took three more intriguing college arms, including AJ Causey out of Tennessee, Dennis Colleran out of Northeastern, and Tommy Molsky out of Oklahoma State. All have really good data on their fastballs or offspeed pitches. 

A lot of those college arm and bat picks were for one reason… RHP Kyle DeGroat. The Royals took the right-handed prep arm from Wallkill Senior HS in New York in the 14th round. They’ll likely need significant money to persuade him away from his commitment to Texas. He was one of the biggest risers this year, seeing a substantial velocity increase in his high-spin fastball. He has some solid secondaries to go along with it. There is lot to build on, and development is still needed, but DeGroat has tons of upside, significantly if he can improve on his velocity gains and control. 

2024 MLB Draft: Best Value Picks

It’s wild that the 2024 MLB Draft has come to an end. It feels like Tyler and I were launching the On The Clock podcast yesterday, and fall-ball was just starting. Now that we’ve come down from the high of the draft, it’s time to do some recaps and break down some of the picks and team hauls. We will first start with the best value picks in each round. 


Draft Live Stream | Top 300 Prospects | Regional Board Rankings 

Day One Recap | Final Recap | Best Classes by Team



Round 1 - LHP Cam Caminiti, Atlanta Braves (Pick No. 24, Prospects Live Rank No. 16)

I think every analyst you talk to will tell you that Caminiti was the biggest steal of the first round. He and William Schmidt were considered the top two prep arms in the draft. Schmidt announced he was heading to LSU a few hours before the draft, leaving Caminiti as the best prep arm on the board. The left-handed Caminiti reclassified and was one of the youngest players in the draft and already had a fastball that could reach up to 98. It’s the potential for a solid four-pitch mix. The Braves have to be ecstatic to get him here. 



Round CB-A - RHP Brody Brecht, Colorado Rockies (Pick No. 38, Prospects Live Rank No. 27)

Brecht might have the best pure stuff outside of Chase Burns and Hagen Smith in the 2024 MLB Draft. The biggest knock on him has always been his command and control as he’s sported BB% of 21.2%, 18.4%, and 14.2% over his last three college seasons. The good news is he’s improved each year, especially after he decided to leave football and focus solely on baseball last March. It’s a 96-99 mph fastball that has touched 101 mph with a wipeout slider that sits in the upper 80s. Brecht is undoubtedly a project due to his control issues, but it’s hard to turn a blind eye to the stuff. He could skyrocket with development in the pros. 



Round 2 - RHP Ryan Sloan, Seattle Mariners (Pick No. 55, Prospects Live Rank No. 21)

Sloan just kept creeping up draft boards all year long. He was easily the next best prep pitcher after Caminiti and Schmidt. The Mariners got a college arm in the first round, likely under slot, which may have saved them enough money to take Sloan. He’s gotten his fastball up to 99 mph in shorter stints and has the makings of a power arm. While there are some concerns with command, he’s super young and just a little bit of development could have him becoming a top prospect in the future. 




Round 3 - RHP Drew Beam, Kansas City Royals (Pick No. 76, Prospects Live Rank No. 47)

While Drew Beam doesn’t have the sexiest arsenal of pitches, he has been one of the SEC's most consistent and reliable starters over the last three years. One of our top 50 prospects in this draft, Beam has a solid four-pitch mix with a 92-96 mph fastball. He’s been an innings eater and workhorse starter despite lacking the strikeout numbers. Beam could be a guy who moves quickly through the minors and if he’s able to learn a outpitch he could end up having a ceiling higher than back-of-the-rotation type starter.




Round 4 - RHP Tyson Neighbors, San Diego Padres (Pick. No. 118, Prospects Live Rank No. 80)

Most people would probably take Dakota Jordan as the most outstanding value pick in the fourth round, and they aren’t wrong, but I have to give some love to Tyson Neighbors here. Neighbors has an electric three-pitch mix that consists of a plus fastball, slider, and curveball. It’s some of the most “big league ready” stuff in the draft. Although he is likely a reliever only, he could be a quick riser through the minor leagues and soon find his way to the show. He’s got all the makings to be a high-leverage reliever at the next level. 



Round 5 - RHP Connor Foley, Arizona Diamondbacks (Pick No. 164, Prospects Live Rank No. 108)

The Indiana right-hander started in the bullpen as a freshman but transitioned to the rotation, where he found some success. He’s missed bats at a high rate and has a pretty electric fastball in the mid-90s. He’s gotten it to the upper 90s, but that was in shorter stints. He struggles holding his velocity deep into starts. Still, this is excellent value for the DBacks, who might be able to build on his fastball and two off-speed pitches, which are about average. He likely ends up in the bullpen but could be a big-league reliever if his stuff continues to tick up in shorter stints. 



Round 7 -  RHP Dennis Colleran, Kansas City Royals (Pick No. 197, Prospects Live Rank No. 141)

The Royals did it again with another college arm. This time, they took Colleran out of Northeastern. Colleran had Tommy John surgery in 2022 and came back in 2023, so he’s been working through command issues. Although he struggled with command, his arm was strong, as he had an electric fastball that topped out at 99 mph at the MLB Draft Combine in June. He usually sits 96-100 mph. He has a power slider to go with his fastball, and he gives me some Dylan Coleman vibes. Based on his stuff, he could be a quick riser as a reliever. 


Round 8 - TWP Conrad Cason, Boston Red Sox (Pick No. 237, Prospects Live Rank No. 167)

After going pretty college heavy in the early rounds, the Red Sox landed a fairly good prep prospect in Round 8. Cason is a two way prospect out of Georgia and was one of the youngest players in the class. There is lots of athleticism here and he is explosive on both sides of the ball. On the mound, he’s gotten his fastball up to 96 mph, which he pairs with a really good slider. It’ll be interesting to see how long the Red Sox let him be a two-way player, but they must be very happy with this pick in Round 8.



Round 9 - RHP Marcus Morgan, Philadelphia Phillies (Pick N0. 282, Prospects Live Rank No. 218)

Another college arm out of Iowa, Morgan had some of the most interesting pure stuff in the college game. Somewhat overlooked by Brecht, Morgan has a fastball that has reached 96 mph, but reports this fall had him in the upper 90s, including touching 99 mph in a bullpen. He has a good sweeper to pair with it. It’s three-plus offerings, and he can potentially be a mid-rotation type pitcher if he can hone in on some of the control issues he has had to date. 


Round 10 - RHP Chase Mobley, Cleveland Guardians (Pick No. 295, Prospects Live Rank No. 95)

There is no doubt almost everyone is picking Chase Mobley as the round ten best value pick. The Guardians had a lot of money to spend this draft and knew they could get Mobley to sign in the 10th round for overslot. It’s a fastball that has already topped out at 97 mph with some reports saying it has touched 99 mph. There is lot to project and tons of room for growth for Mobley who just turned 18 before draft day. There is tons to build on here and the Guardians have to be excited about this pick. 



Round 11 - RHP Trey Gregory-Alford, Los Angeles Angels (Pick No. 322, Prospects Live Rank No. 84)

Based on the Angels' earlier picks, they were obviously saving money to take a significant prep arm after the first ten rounds and boy, did they get their guy in Trey Gregory-Alford. He threw the seven fastest pitches at the MLB Draft Combine, topping out at 99.7 mph. The 6’5 right-hander is a towering presence on the mound with a very large and physical frame. He is everything you think of when you think of a power pitcher. A great pick for the Angels and falls in line with their recent drafting of guys like Caden Dana. 



Round 12 - 3B Zander Darby, San Francisco Giants (Pick No. 358, Prospects Live Rank No. 124)

You could’ve chosen between two college players in the 12th round for the best value. RHP Brady Tygart out of Arkansas who went to the Boston Red Sox would’ve also been a great choice, but it is hard to ignore the great value on Darby here. Darby flew up draft after a strong showing in the Cape. He had a hit-or-miss spring this year, but Darby still has the tools you want to bank on. He has improved his patience at the plate and grew into more in-game power. He truly shows off raw power in batting practice. A lot is needed in the development department, but it is still a steal here for the Giants. 


Round 14 - RHP Kyle DeGroat, Kansas City Royals (Pick No. 407, Prospects Live Rank No. 138)

The Royals went through a slate of older college arms and bats for about ten rounds until they reached round 14. It was apparent that those picks were related to wanting to sign DeGroat. Given his commitment to Texas, it wouldn't be easy, but their plan worked, as DeGroat has already announced that he plans to sign with the Royals. DeGroat has a big frame that should be able to get stronger. Despite his height, he’s able to use that attribute to his advantage. It’s a high-spin fastball that sits 93-94 mph with some solid offspeed pitches. A lot of the velo increases are new to DeGroat, so lots to build on, but the Royals have to be happy to get their guy. 

2024 MLB Draft: Day One Recap

DAY ONE WINNERS

Tyler’s Pick

Colorado Rockies

OF Charlie Condon (#3), RHP Brody Brecht (#38), OF Jared Thomas (#42)

Long story short, I felt like the Rockies did an exceptional job at locking down college talent/value. Condon not going to Cincinnati felt a bit shocking for us and I'm sure Colorado was super giddy to have that kind of power land right in their laps. Snatching Brecht at 38 was a great value pick. Yes, there’s a ton of warts here, but the Rockies development team has gotten better and I trust them to find a way to help Brecht tap into his upside more. Lastly, Thomas is a very underrated selection. He was set to play OF before the departure of Luke Storm, but he's got the tools to stick in a corner spot and the bat itself has a ton of offensive upside with a high contact, burgeoning power label slapped on him. 


Minnesota Twins

SS Kaelen Culpepper (#21), SS Kyle DeBarge (#33), 3B Billy Amick (#60), LHP Dasan Hill (#69)

Of the teams that had four picks on the first day, I think the Twins did an exceptional job at evaluating talent and securing it. Culpepper is a solid up the middle talent with a ton of athleticism, but the DeBarge pick really stands out to me. He's got the hit tool, power, and chops at shortstop to be a solid major leaguer if everything clicks. It's a fun analytical pick. Grabbing Amick at 60 is solid value, especially since he had suitors in the back of the first round, but the cherry on top was Hill. Hill is an incredibly lanky, projectable southpaw that's already tickled the mid-90s this spring and has the spin traits to project a solid slider. I really think highly of this class.


Detroit Tigers 

SS Bryce Rainer (#11), RHP Owen Hall (#49), LHP Ethan Schiefelbein (#72)

Upside galore here. Rainer falling to 11 was a dream come true for Scott Harris and company. There's Corey Seager comps with his profile and he'll learn to pull the ball and tap more into his power as he matures physically. However, Hall's selection at 49 might be my favorite of the class. He's exceptionally athletic with a big fastball that's already touched 98-99 MPH this spring and budding secondaries that he'll get better command of. Schiefelbein is another upside southpaw with innate tunneling traits and a fun 1-2 punch with deception and ease. It's a very fun class and even though it might be expensive, the upside buys are great to see.


Jared's Picks 

Miami Marlins 

OF PJ Morlando (#16), SS Carter Johnson (#56), RHP Aiden May (#70)

This was one of my favorite day hauls for day one. Lots of upside and a really fun arm in Aiden May. They started with Morlando who came in at #27 on our top 300 board. He puts up insane power numbers in BP, which was shown off at the MLB Draft Combine (4 balls over 110mp EV), but he has struggled to get into that power in game (somewhat due to being intentionally walked a lot). Lots of upside with this pick. They followed that picked with even more upside by taking Carter Johnson at 56, who comes in #32 on our board. The Alabama shortstop has a ton of upside at the plate due to his mature approach. The Marlins rounded out with taking right-handed pitcher Aiden May out of Oregon State. May really got himself on the map when he went toe-to-toe with Arkansas lefty Hagen Smith during his seventeen strikeout game. The Marlins have to be pretty happy with this day one haul. 


Pittsburgh Pirates

SS Konnor Griffin (#9), RHP Levi Sterling (#37), SS Wyatt Sanford (#47)

The Pirates might have one of the most exciting hauls that has plenty of upside. They started with Konnor Griffin who was basically the consensus top prep bat in the entire class. He’s got five tool upside that includes electric bat speed and tons of strength. The followed Griffin by taking right handed prep arm Levi Sterling who’s full of plenty of upside as well. He’s got a fastball with a ton of ride and run that goes along with his plus curveball and a very good slider. He repeats his delivery well. The rounded things off by taking another prep shortstop in Wyatt Sanford who some thought might go higher than 47. Sanford is one of the best defensive shortstops and will stick up the middle. There are some concerns with the hit tool, but plenty of room for growth and lots of time to rework his swing a bit once he gets to pro ball, 


Boston Red Sox

OF Braden Montgomery (#12), LHP Payon Tolle (#50)

If you’re a Red Sox fan, you have to love the value of Braden Montgomery here. Our #7 overall prospect feel right into Boston’s lap and it was likely easy for them to make this selection. He’s a switch hitter but has performed much better from the left side and there is a solid chance he’s a lefty only in the future. He’s got easy plus power he can tap into to all parts of the field. He threw 96 mph as a pitcher so likely ends up as a RF due to his cannon or an arm. They followed that by taking TCU lefty Payton Tolle who’s got some of the most insane metrics on his fastball. Tolle was a two-way guy in college, but the bat really struggled this year and he won’t be hitting at the next level. Regardless, it’s a great one-two punch on established college players who still have some upside left in them. 

DAY ONE LOSERS

Tyler’s Pick

Texas Longhorns/Virginia Cavaliers 

Unfortunately for these two college teams, their recruiting classes were raided at the top. The Longhorns lost Bryce Rainer, Theo Gillen, and Levi Sterling, as well as Jared Thomas. Virginia lost three recruits, too. Caleb Bonemer, Luke Dickerson, and Bryce Meccage were all selected, plus their lineup was hit hard with Griff O'Ferrall and Ethan Anderson going to the Orioles. It's a tough pill to swallow for both teams, though both are well-known for their development. It still stings, though.


Oakland Athletics

1B Nick Kurtz (#4), 3B Tommy White (#40), LHP Gage Jump (#73)

I'm a bit confused on what the A's draft strategy is right now. I'd imagine there's going to be an overslot third rounder coming later today, but I felt like they could've squeezed out more from their first three picks. Kurtz is a fine addition at an underslot price, but Tommy White felt like a weird fit and Gage Jump follows the same line. I'm curious to see how Oakland develops both, but it left a weird taste in our mouth. Let's see how today goes for them, but this is a disappointing class thus far. 

Jared’s Pick

Philadelphia Phillies

OF Dante Nori (#27), OF Griffin Burkholder (#63)

Well, Dante Nori was a pick. No one can argue with the Phillies there. Nori wasn’t a guy I expected to see have his name called in the first round. While Nori has a ton of athleticism and speed, there are definitely some concerns given him being almost 20 years old and mostly being filled out in his 5’10, 190lbs frame. The pick made more sense when they took Griffin Burkholder at pick 63. Burkholder is an incredible runner with tons of upside on the offensive side of the ball. He has insane bat speed and does much damage at the plate, coupled with solid plate discipline. So, if you’re a Phillies fan disappointed with the first-round pick, there is at least some upside with what they did next that you can be excited about. 

BIGGEST SHOCK

Tyler’s Pick

OF Braylon Payne

Circle this as a pick that I wasn't expecting. We had a feeling Milwaukee would go for a bat and they would make a strategy call, but Payne wasn't too high up on my board of guys who could surprise us. With that said, seeing what the Brewers did the rest of Day 1, it's not a bad pick. It screams underslot at 17 with Bryce Meccage and Chris Levonas expecting to garner big deals and Payne himself has a ton of upside. A toolsy outfielder with youth and athleticism on his side, he's a fun development get.


Jared’s Pick

RHP Chase Burns (Cincinnati Reds)

Reds fans, don’t worry. This isn’t an “I’m shocked” because it was a bad pick. I just thought Cincinnati was a lock to take Charlie Condon wi22th the second-overall pick. Many Reds fans were dreaming of Condon hitting homers at Great American Ballpark. But there is no reason not to like Chase Burns's pick. It’s three plus pitches from Burns that comes with a bulldog mentality on the mound. Burns was easily one of the top two arms, if not the top arm in this draft class and he could be a quick riser to the big leagues. Burns started what turned out to be a very intriguing day one of the draft by the Reds that included SS Tyson Lewis in the second and RHP Luke Holman in the CB-B round. 

BIGGEST REACH

Tyler’s Pick

OF Dante Nori (Philadelphia Phillies)

I think Jared hit the nail on the head above, but I'll still provide insight myself. It's a weird, weird pick. It makes more sense with Burkholder at 63, but we had Nori as a fifth rounder. He's a maxed out body type with a hit-over-power bat with speed that is an interesting archetype, but how much more can you squeeze out here? That's why he was lower for us and it's definitely a head-scratcher. I'd rather have Slade Caldwell if I'm the Phillies. 


Jared’s Pick 

C Ivan Luciano (Arizona Diamondbacks)

While this pick is a head-scratcher, it likely makes sense, given the guys the Diamondbacks took before that. Luciano wasn’t high on many’s rankings, including coming in at 220th with MLB Pipeline. He’s a defensive first type player as he pretty good behind the dish. It’s hit over power as he has a good approach at the plate. Given the DBacks took Slade Caldwell (prep), Ryan Waldschmidt (college), and JD Nix (prep) with the first three picks, they are likely spending significant money on them which led to the pick of Luciano who will likely be underslot to save them some money. He’s still got some upside. 


BEST VALUE

Tyler’s Picks

SS Tyler Bell (Tampa Bay Rays)

We had Bell as the 43rd best prospect in this class and while he's older for the class, it's a ton of bat speed and power potential with the switch-hitting shortstop. Him falling a bit led us to think that he might go to Kentucky, but the Rays got incredible value at 66. There's a solid chance he can stick as a switch-hitter and stay at shortstop long term. I really, really love this for Tampa Bay.


RHP Ryan Sloan (Seattle Mariners)

Sloan had legitimate first round value. I could just say that and walk away from my phone, but Seattle did an excellent job buying Sloan down to 55 after taking Jurrangelo Cijntje at 15. Sloan is a burly, yet projectable right-hander that's been up to 99 MPH this spring and has an excellent change-up and slider. It may just be the best value pick of Day 1.


SS Luke Dickerson (Washington Nationals)

Dickerson was another player with back of the first talent. I would've thought he was a comp pick at worst, but Washington got incredible value at 44. Dickerson's bat had a ton of helium this spring and there's a great mix of pure contact and power, which grades out above-average or better. He may not be a shortstop long term, but the bat was more of a selling point and many thought he wouldn't get this far. 


Jared’s Pick

LHP Cam Caminiti (Atlanta Braves)

The Braves front office have to be giddy that Caminiti fell into their laps at 24. Our 16th overall prospect in the 2024 MLB Draft is considered the best prep prospect pitcher on the board. Caminiti reclassified this year and is one of the youngest players in the class who’s already been up to 98 mph with his fastball. He’s super athletic and has a very easy, repeatable delivery. His secondary offerings are still a work in progress, but they have plenty of upside to them. This is a great pick for the Braves and there is lots to dream on with the potential of Caminiti 


OF Ryan Waldschmidt (Arizona Diamondbacks)

Waldschmidt might be my favorite OF bat in this class not named Condon or Montgomery. He fell a bit on boards as he started late this season due to an injury, but he came out fine blazing as soon as he was back. He’s posted some insane batted ball data and the tools speak for themselves. He pairs those high exit velos with an incredible approach at the plate and very good ability to make contact. The Diamondbacks have to be very happy with their one-two punch of Slade Caldwell and Waldschmidt to start day one of the draft.

2024 MLB Draft Prospect Profile: 1B /LHP Jac Caglianone

B: Left   T: Left 

HT: 6 ‘5  WT: 250 lbs

Hometown: Tampa, FL

School: University of Florida

2024 Stats

Hitting: 66 G, .419 BA .544 OBP, .875 SLG 83 R, 35 HR, 72 RBI, 4 SB, 58 BB, 26 SO

Pitching: 73.2 IP, 5-2, 4.76 ERA, 1.52 WHIP, 50 BB, 83 K

Caglianone might have the best power tool in this draft class; he produces elite exit velocities to all fields. His transition to wood should be smooth, as this tool will play at the professional level. His hands are quick, and his bat speed is top of the class, producing an elite amount of hard contact. He produced a 42% ground ball rate in 2024, which will need to improve to fully maximize his massive power potential.


Coming from Tampa, Florida, Caglianone's wide setup at the plate provides him with excellent balance, enabling him to effectively handle off-speed pitches. Notably, he significantly reduced his strikeouts this season, from 18.1% in '23 to 8.2% in '24, by lowering both his chase and miss rates. This is impressive, given the high level of pitching he faced in the SEC. While his chase rate remains in the mid-thirties, it is an area he is actively working on. 


Caglianone is a below-average runner but gets out of the box well and shows good instincts on the basepaths. He is limited defensively to first base but can handle himself on the dirt competently and moves well around the bag for his size. Caglianone has a strong throwing arm; however, scouts are mixed on his ability to play in the outfield. 

Caglianone was a two-way player for UF but will probably have to give up pitching at some point early in his professional career due to spotty command. He pitched in the mid to upper 90's in 2024 (up a couple of ticks from 2023) with his fastball, touching 100 at times; his velocity dropped to 2023 levels near the end of this Junior season. His second-best pitch is his plus change-up, which produces swing-and-miss due to its late life. He also throws a gyro-spinning slider and a cutter that can touch 90 mph; both produce moderate results and are graded as average offerings. He pitched a career-high 73.2 innings for the Gators in 2024, as they relied on him to get outs. His ceiling as an arm is a fringe reliever if he can significantly improve his control. 


Standing at 6 feet 5 inches and weighing 250 pounds, Caglianone is a physical specimen who commands attention both at the plate and on the mound. His dedication to maintaining his physique is evident in his performance. Caglianone is a high-risk, high-reward player, and is a projected top 5 pick in this year's draft.

The State of Georgia: 2024 Georgia MLB Draft Outlook

60 FV tier

3B/OF Charlie Condon, University of Georgia

Hit: 55, Game Power: 70, Glove: 50, Arm: 60, Run: 45

Has done nothing but hit bombs, rockets and missiles at UGA. Top end bat speed, juice to all fields on the strength of double plus barrel feel. Plus understanding of the strike zone, vulnerable to sharp breaking stuff but can nut up in two strike counts. Average range and first step at 3B, zips the ball across the diamond. Posts fringe to average run times to 1B. Should have Kris Bryant/Brian Anderson style defensive versatility going between 3B and OF corner, with Bryant-esque offensive production. Elite draft talent, should get the largest bonus in the 2025 class.

45+ FV tier

RHP Jackson Barberi, Brookwood HS

Fastball: 60, Slider: 60, Changeup: 55, Cutter: 50, Command: 50

Long and loose RHP, whippy arm from 3Q slot. Decent mover, average to above avg. athlete. Fastball at its peak sits 92-95 touching 96-97, above average carry with low release height creating plus plane. Low 80s slider is consistently snappy, but will guide it with his arm when he tires. Mid 80s changeup has above average fade that breaks off the fastball plane late. Will mix in a cutter at 87-88 that has sharp break but lacks conviction at this stage. Projects to have starting caliber command of his arsenal. #2 starter upside if he gets more consistent with his breaking balls and continues to develop his changeup. Fits comfortably in the 2nd round, could sneak into the comp.


40+ FV Tier

SS Erik Parker, North Gwinnett HS

Hit: 55, Game Power: 50, Glove: 55, Arm: 55, Run: 50

Big body, prototypical frame and build for big league shortstop. Quick trigger, line drive oriented swing that can put the ball over the fence on occasion. Aggressive to a fault early and in the summer, settled in as spring went along and showed patience and aggression on his pitch. Pull side home run power now, projectable body should add more strength and allow him to be a threat to all fields. Above average runner at present, will likely slow down a bit to average at full maturation. Above average arm strength and range, smooth actions all around at the shortstop position and projects to stick there at highest level. Bounty of average to above average tools that can carry a big league profile, but lacks a plus carrying tool to get into the top 50 picks.


CF Terrence Kiel II, Pace Academy

Hit: 55, Game Power: 45, Glove: 55, Arm: 55, Run: 70

Medium sized frame, strong at present and possesses necessary physicality for professional baseball. Above average bat speed, hands are a bit indirect in his regular right handed swing. In 2 strike counts and in sparing looks from the left side, his hands work straight to the ball. As a result, his standard swing has more power, but his shorter swing has more barrel feel. Routinely posts 70 grade run times home to first. Defensively, he covers a lot of ground in center field and glides towards the ball, and should be plenty capable of handling it at the major league level. High level athleticism, feel for hitting and potential as a switch hitter gets him into 2nd-3rd round conversations.



40 FV Tier

2B/OF Rustan Rigdon, Metter HS

Hit: 60, Game Power: 50, Glove: 45, Arm: 45, Run: 50

Smooth swing from both sides of the plate with above average bat speed, finds barrels often against the full gamut of summer and spring high school pitching. Pullside power from both sides, able to elevate and backspin the ball well. Elbow injury raises questions about long term defensive home, showed average range and arm strength at middle infield positions during the summer. Incredibly determined kid, played center field in the spring by throwing with his left hand. Showed potential for defensive utility there down the road, but long term plan of development should be at second base once his right elbow heals. Uncertainty about defensive ability bumps him into 3rd to 4th round consideration. 

C Chase Fralick, McIntosh HS

Hit: 50, Game Power: 60, Glove: 45, Arm: 50, Run: 30

Really whippy bat from the left side, drives balls hard to center and right field. Capable of driving pitches that he’s fooled on, advanced barrel feel. Vulnerable to elevated fastballs, wants to get the barrel out in front and do damage. Possesses above average arm strength, but is slow to get out of the crouch and plays down when in game scenarios. Shows average ability to receive and block out of the one knee stance. Fralick’s grown man strength, summer track record and flashes of an advanced hit tool fit best around the 4th and 5th rounds, with some upward mobility if a team is confident about improving his receiving and footwork behind the plate.


RHP Nate Taylor, Buford HS

Fastball: 55, Slider: 60, Command: 50

Physical build at 6-2, 210 lbs. Rhythmic and loose with plus arm speed. High 3Q slot, moving great downmound. Some room on frame to add strength, athletic ability aids projection. Fastball is 88-93 touching 94 with above average carry life, slider at 80-86 with plus snap and vertical break. Shows changeup on occasion but most looks come during warmups, decent armside fade and low feel at this stage of his development. Strong command of his fastball and slider, even when arm speed and stuff was down early in the spring. Mid rotation starter upside, fits around the 4th-5th round in a standard draft.

C Levi Clark, Walton HS

Hit: 50, Game Power: 60, Glove: 40, Arm: 50, Run: 30

Big body that has matured early, low projection remaining. Plus bat speed and creates great stretch in his swing. When he finds the barrel, there’s significant impact behind it. Has been vulnerable against high fastballs due to the length of his swing, but is able to shorten up and defend in two strike counts--without sacrificing significant power. Strong arm behind the plate, inconsistent ability to get to it and struggles with receiving and blocking. Likely a 1B at the end of his development pattern, but as with most HS catchers it’s a fool’s errand to run anyone off the position given how variable the defensive outcomes are. Fits around round 5.

 

LHP Charlie Foster, Brookwood HS

Fastball: 50, Slider: 50, Changeup: 55, Command: 55

Large body with high projection. Loose arm, medium effort. Above avg. athlete, moves well. Strong torso rotation. Fastball was up 90-93 early in two to three inning stints, but as a starter he settled into 88-91. Smooth mechanics, command of all three of his pitches. Slurvy breaking ball at 76-78, intermittent sharpness that flashes above average. Changeup in the low 80s shows consistent above average depth. Shows command of all three pitches, recent recommitment to Mississippi State has reopened his draft market. Epitome of a projection lefty, stuff just isn’t quite at the level of his prep draft peers. Grades out as a 5th rounder, but could go up a round or two if a bidding war ensures.


35+ FV Tier

1B/DH Corey Collins, University of Georgia

Hit: 45, Game Power: 55, Glove: 40, Arm: 50, Run: 30

Compact stance with plus bat speed and plus raw power, length has caused issues with breaking stuff throughout his tenure at UGA. Has tamed some swing and miss and gotten to more of that raw power, high level performer that is rivaled by few in college baseball this Spring. Lacks the glove to play at catcher or an outfield corner, likely a 1B/DH type throughout his pro career. Top senior sign candidate, mid day 2 value that could be pushed up to accommodate draft pool budgets. 

3B Cade Brown, Parkview HS

Hit: 50, Game Power: 60, Glove: 45, Arm: 50, Run: 40

Stout frame, minimal projection remaining on body. Big bat speed, fastest amongst GA high school bats in this class. Has a knack for finding the barrel, can go out to all fields and puts balls in places that most kids dream about. Relatively agile for his size, can post average run times and shows average twitch at 3B. Has a decent shot to stick at the hot corner, but hard to say how much offensive growth occurred over the Spring based on middling summer performance. Will get the most out of his raw talent, fits around the 5th to 6th rounds.

RHP Cole Royer, Pierce County HS

Fastball: 50, Curveball: 60, Slider: 50, Command: 45

Extra large frame, lean and high waisted. Plus arm speed and above average mover, high projection. Fastball sits around 89-93 with above average arm side run, primary breaking ball is a 76-80 MPH curveball with plus vertical break and snap late off his fastball plane. Mixes in a 81-83 MPH slider that flashed above average bite, but shows it rarely in games and is mostly comfortable with a fastball+curveball approach at this stage. Command of offerings is developing, Royer is slow in his gather phase then his hips fire quickly with his arm coming behind it. Fastball command is scattershot and breaking balls can back up on him, consistent repetitions and athleticism will be key to grow into his body and mechanics. A long term projection project with mid rotation starter upside, 5th to 6th round value right now.


CF Bo Walker, Starr’s Mill HS

Hit: 40, Game Power: 55, Glove: 50, Arm: 50, Run: 60

Big body, present physicality. Drops hands and creates big stretch at footplant, if he finds the barrel the ball will disappear over the left field wall. Long swing path creates issues with catching up to velocity and pitchers that can effectively mix. Tantalizing combination of plus raw power and plus run creates intrigue as a prep. Should be able to handle CF, flashes above average arm in game settings with plus arm strength. Tool bet in the 4th to 5th round for some teams, lackluster hit tool could take him out of conversations for others.


SS AJ Abernathy, North Cobb HS

Hit: 45, Game Power: 40, Glove: 55, Arm: 50, Run: 70

Smaller body that has some room for muscle, but shouldn’t be sacrificing speed for strength if he can help it. Flat planed swing, can really carry the ball despite light impact in bat overall. True 70 grade runner, changes games with his legs. Inconsistent with his ability to read spin, can often be late on the fastball. Has above average arm strength despite small stature, can throw some sinkers to 1B but has enough to stick at shortstop in conjunction with smooth actions, soft hands and above average range. Mid day 2 value, possibility of going earlier if teams believe they have a true shortstop that can get more hit out of.


35 FV Tier

SS Kolby Branch, University of Georgia

Hit: 50, Game Power: 45, Glove: 50, Arm: 50, Run: 50

Transfer from Baylor, smallish medium frame that has requisite arm strength, bounce and hands to handle shortstop, but is unlikely to make an impact there on defense. Above average bat speed, can handle fastballs and has pullside home run power, but will run into struggles with secondaries. Chance to develop into a first division starter up the middle, but more than likely settles into a utility/bench role at the highest level. Mid to late Day 2 value.

RHP Blake Aita, Kennesaw State University

Fastball: 45, Cutter: 60, Slider: 55, Command: 50

Large frame, low to medium projection. H3Q slot, arm works. Medium effort with head whack. Fastball sits in the low 90s with average 4S plane, above average carry. Slider averages in the low 80s with consistent above average sweep. Cutter in the mid to high 80s has plus bite, difference making pitch that was added in the fall. Shows a changeup that rolls off the hand in warmups, not mandatory to stick as a starter but further development would go a long way. Above average ability to throw fastball for strikes, average command as some leak into the middle of the zone. Will occasionally overcook cutters, shows an ability to pitch backwards and in plus counts with the slider--and locate it. #4 starter upside, cutter heavy relief role is the floor. 6th to 8th round value.

SS Peyton Green, Georgia Tech

Hit: 45, Game Power: 50, Glove: 50, Arm: 55, Run: 50

Big bodied and lean, prototypical shortstop build. Shows average lateral range and above average arm strength at SS, should be able to handle himself there as a pro. Some length to swing, above average bat speed. Can hit the fastball and does fine vs. breaking stuff, has struggled against changeups. Profiles on the left side of the infield and can produce in a part time role for a 1st division team or be a 2nd division regular. 6th to 8th round value.


RHP Conrad Cason, Greater Atlanta Christian HS

Fastball: 60, Splitter: 50, Curveball: 40, Command: 45

Long and lean frame, works out of high 3Q slot and has a repeatable, downhill delivery. Arm length has caused command issues, will need to tap into his plus athletic ability to shore up that concern. Fastball sits around 92-96 and will touch 97-98 with above average cut life, doesn’t miss as many bats as you would expect. Splitter in the low to mid 80s shows flashes of above average dive, but feel for it is still developing and break profile is inconsistent. Will occasionally go to a high 70s curveball that’s lacking in break and sharpness. Lot of work to be done, but arm talent and athleticism leads you to dream on a #2-#3 starter, but there’s tons of risk as well. Mid day 2 value with high variance.

RHP Dane Moehler, Walton HS

Fastball: 45, Slider: 55, Changeup: 55, Curveball: 50, Command: 55

Long and loose righty, athletic with repeatable mechanics. Bet to add stuff at some point down the line. Blend of fastball at 88-91, four seam has above average carry and two seam has above average sink. High 70s to low 80s slider has above average depth and sharpness, low 80s changeup has above average fade. Curveball at 73-76 shows average depth and is developed enough to differentiate from slider. Command is very sharp for his age, routinely hits his spots with fastballs and lands his secondaries in good places. Stuff never really upticked from his summer performances, mid to late Day 2 value.


CF Michael Mullinax, North Cobb Christian HS

Hit: 45, Game Power: 50, Glove: 50, Arm: 50, Run: 60

Medium body, fair bit of projection remaining. Very awkward swing path from both sides over the summer that he worked to get shorter and more fluid in the Spring, a work in progress but his prognosis to hit has improved. Above average raw power that he shows an ability to get to from the left side. Above average to plus arm strength, but big winding over the top arm action causes a lot of missed targets and plays it down to average in games. Posts plus home to first times and routinely impacts the running game. Everyday centerfielder ceiling, but definitely a project at this stage. 6th to 8th round value.



30+ FV Tier

RHP Alex Hernandez, Forsyth Central HS

Fastball: 50, Slider: 55, Changeup: 50, Command: 40


SS Bryce Clavon, Kell HS

Hit: 40, Game Power: 45, Glove: 45, Arm: 50, Run: 60


RHP Jordan Stephens, Abraham Baldwin Agricultural College

Fastball: 55, Slider: 50, Changeup: 40, Command: 40


RHP Clinton Harris, Brookwood HS

Fastball: 50, Splitter: 55, Curveball: 45, Command: 35


RHP Thorpe Musci, Parkview HS

Fastball: 50, Curveball: 50, Changeup: 50, Command: 40


RHP Logan McGuire, Georgia Tech

Fastball: 45, Changeup: 55, Slider: 40, Command: 45


LHP Camron Hill, Georgia Tech

Fastball: 45, Slider: 50, Changeup: 50, Splitter: 50, Command: 40


2B/3B/OF Slate Alford, University of Georgia

Hit: 40, Game Power: 55, Glove: 40, Arm: 50, Run: 30

2024 MLB Mock Draft 3.0

While everything in Texas is bigger, this introduction won’t be. This is a practice in futility and there’s a lot of rumors and potential chaos abound. Prepare for mayhem accordingly!

The Draft Team Staff at Prospects Live is very thankful for everyone we have interacted and worked with this cycle and we appreciate the readers and viewers alike! Please make sure to join our draft stream tonight at 6:30 PM EST/5:30 PM CST.


1. Cleveland Guardians - INF JJ Wetherholt

Slot Value: $10,570,600

Sitting from this chair, it seems the running for 1.1 has come down to JJ Wetherholt and Travis Bazzana. Given the consideration for draft strategy with two more Top 50 picks, the likelihood that Cleveland gets a significant haircut is high and I would be shocked to see otherwise. With that said, who is more likely to give you that out of those two? Our guess is Wetherholt and it mainly comes down to the fact that he'd provide the bigger haircut and fits on the left side of the infield more than Bazzana. The savings that Wetherholt would provide allow Cleveland to float a prep down to #36 and even #48 if the money works out in their favor. Expect this situation to be fluid throughout the day and there is a good likelihood that the pool of players in consideration is higher than these two.


2. Cincinnati Reds - 3B/OF Charlie Condon

Slot Value: $9,785,000

The gut feeling right now is that Cincinnati prefers a power bat over a power arm, though there's been a Chase Burns connection recently. However, Charlie Condon appears to be the name linked the most with the Reds. This is, of course, assuming Cleveland doesn't go haywire. Caglianone makes sense here, too.


3. Colorado Rockies - RHP Chase BUrns

Slot Value: $9,070,800

There's been heat around a few guys here, including Burns, Condon, and Caglianone. This seems to be an early pivotal pick in this draft considering that Colorado could be in a wait-and-see mode with the two picks above them, but Burns makes the most sense in our eyes. They've quietly done a good job with Chase Dollander and Sean Sullivan, among others, in last year's draft and Burns has arguably the highest upside of any arm available. This seems to be Condon's floor, too.


4. Oakland AThletics - INF Travis Bazzana

Slot Value: $8,370,800

If Bazzana isn't the first overall pick, this is his likely ending spot. It's hard to envision this kind of bat slipping out of the top five and Oakland would be giddy to get a great value pick early. Now, if Bazzana is the first overall pick, expect a myriad of players to be in discussion here, including Nick Kurtz and Jac Caglianone.


5. Chicago White Sox - 1B/LHP Jac CAglianone

Slot Value: $7,763,700

To us, Caglianone feels like the leader in the clubhouse right now, though this may be a more pivotal pick than the Rockies at #3. If Caglianone is gone here, there's an expectation that the two prep bats in Konnor Griffin and Bryce Rainer would be in heavy consideration. Consider this one more of a toss-up in all seriousness.


6. Kansas City Royals - INF Bryce Rainer

Slot Value: $7,213,800

Kansas City really threw us a curveball the night before the draft by trading pick #39 to the Nationals in the Hunter Henry deal. They lose $2,395,000 of their bonus pool, giving them closer to $13,000,000 now to sign their allotted picks. They do still have an early second-round selection, so maybe their strategy doesn't change much. Who knows. As of right now, it feels like it'll come down to one of the prep bats or Hagen Smith. We'll go with Rainer for right now, and maybe there's a slight haircut, but again, who knows? This could very well be where Smith ends up.


7. St. Louis Cardinals - LHP Hagen Smith

Slot Value: $6,823,700

Assuming the Royals end up taking a prep bat, Smith makes a ton of sense for the Cardinals and I'd be shocked if they let him slip past them. Pairing him with 2023 draftee Quinn Mathews would be a fun southpaw duo. If Smith is taken before this pick, we'd expect either Rainer or Griffin here, more so Rainer.


8. Los Angeles Angels - INF Christian Moore

Slot Value: $6,502,800

The Angels are always tricky to identify a specific player in a mock. We know their recent demographic, a fast-moving college guy, but who could that be this year? Braden Montgomery is hurt and while I think he's got a chance here, the injury he sustained in Super Regionals may play a factor in their decision-making, unless they turn a new leaf. Look no further than Christian Moore, Tennessee's offensive catalyst in their CWS run. He has the chance to move quickly in their system and likely comes at a discount, as the Angels have liked to pay a prep in later rounds (i.e. Caden Dana, Barrett Kent).


9. Pittsburgh Pirates - 1B Nick Kurtz

Slot Value: $6,216,600

This pick likely comes down to whichever prep bat is still available (in this case, it's Griffin) and Nick Kurtz. Kurtz is a Pennsylvania native and may present a discount for Pittsburgh's competitive balance pick, though that feeling is not set in stone for us. We'll mock Kurtz for now, but expect an appearance from Griffin.


10. Washington Nationals - OF Braden Montgomery

Slot Value: $5,953,800

Things may get a bit hectic here, but in this scenario, Montgomery's fall comes to an end. He may need to ditch switch-hitting and perform as a left-handed bat, but that's fine. Kurtz makes a ton of sense here if the order changes, plus there's a good chance we could see someone else here. I wouldn't say expect potential chaos, but expect the boards to open up a bit here.


11. Detroit Tigers - INF/OF Konnor Griffin

Slot Value: $5,712,100

Detroit's brass would be pretty happy with Griffin falling into their lap at #11. There's a big link to Cam Caminiti at this spot and I'd imagine that's the likely route, but this is a scenario where the other half of the best prep bats is available. There's some Caleb Lomavita smoke here, too, but that's a rumor we don't feel too confident in. It's still worth noting, nonetheless.


12. Boston REd Sox - RHP Trey Yesavage

Slot Value: $5,484,600

Given Craig Breslow's arrival in Boston, our gut still tells us that ECU's Trey Yesavage is the best fit and would more than likely be available here. He's the last of the premier college arms in this class and fits Boston's organizational needs to a tee. If a top ten player falls to #12, though, expect Boston to pounce.


13. San Francisco Giants - LHP Cam Caminiti

Slot Value: $5,272,300

Assuming Caminiti isn't a Tiger, the next best fit would be the Giants at #13. It'd likely be his absolute floor and that's exactly what happens in this mock scenario. We're prepared to be wrong, though if Yesavage and Cam Smith are available here, we'd expect them to be in consideration.


14. Chicago Cubs - 3B Cameron Smith

Slot Value: $5,070,700

Speaking of Cam Smith, I'd expect the Cubs to pull the trigger if he's available. There's a plethora of college performeres available here and we'd imagine that the Cubs dive into that player pool. Smith's approach changes and power really stand out and he can handle the hot corner.


15. Seattle Mariners - SHP Jurrangelo Cijntje

Slot Value: $4,880,900

The expectation from Seattle is that this pick will likely be pitching. Many, including ourselves, view Jurrangelo Cijntje as SP4 in the college ranks, especially as a right-hander. Yes, there's uniqueness with the switch-pitching, but the stuff from the right side is bringing plenty of suitors to his doorstep. This would likely be Yesavage's floor and we can envision names like Carson Benge to be in consideration here if they go for a bat.


16. Miami Marlins - INF Seaver King

Slot Value: $4,704,700

New Marlins GM Peter Bendix was in Charlotte during the ACC Championship to get eyes on the likes of Seaver King and others. Miami's approach may go bat-heavy now and King seems like an excellent fit at this range, so we'll trust our gut and say he's the pick here.


17. Milwaukee Brewers - OF Ryan Waldschmidt

Slot Value: $4,534,100

Our expectation is that Milwaukee will look for a bat at this spot, though who that is isn't set in stone. Benge makes sense here, though we like Kentucky OF Ryan Waldschmidt more. He's a solid mold of clay for the organization to play with and most believe his best baseball is yet to come. It's a fun analytical fit.


18. Tampa Bay Rays - RHP Ryan Sloan

Slot Value: $4,372,900

There's a plethora of routes that Tampa Bay could go here, but I'd imagine some of the prep arms begin to get some notice here. Ryan Sloan makes the most sense of those arms. The burly right-hander has an excellent three-pitch mix with loud secondaries and has been into the upper-90s this spring. If it's not an arm, we wouldn't be shocked by a prep bat.


19. New YOrk Mets - INF Kaelen Culpepper

Slot Value: $4,219,200

The Mets have a preference for an up-the-middle type of bat and Kaelen Culpepper has the chops to stick at shortstop long term. Vance Honeycutt's name could make an appearance here, too. However, the link between the Mets and Culpepper is too strong to go that route at this time.


20. Toronto Blue Jays - C Malcolm Moore

Slot Value: $4,073,400

The expectation is that Toronto will take a college catcher here, though the real question is which one that'll be. In our eyes, Malcolm Moore is the best available catcher of that group and has solid underlying data to boot. Of course, if it's not Moore, Lomavita, and Walker Janek make the most sense.


21. Minnesota Twins - OF James Tibbs III

Slot Value: $3,934,400

Do we expect James Tibbs III to slip this far? No. In all honesty, there's a good likelihood that he goes way higher. There is some worry about his platoon splits and if he falls like we think he will in this mock, the Twins would be more than happy to scoop him up. He fits their recent trends to a tee.


22. Baltimore Orioles - OF Carson Benge

Slot Value: $3,802,200

Baltimore has liked Culpepper and Honeycutt, though, with one gone and the other having legitimate hit tool concerns, the Orioles may pivot to Benge. Benge's swing is a bit of a project, though Baltimore's hitting development would be perfect for him. It's an extremely fun fit.


23. Los Angeles Dodgers - INF/OF Theo Gillen

Slot Value: $3,676,400

Our expectation is that the Dodgers will go after one of the prep shortstops available in the backend of the first round. Theo Gillen makes the most sense in our eyes right now. Luke Dickerson, Wyatt Sanford, and others are potential fits, too. This is legitimate toss-up territory for us.


24. Atlanta Braves - RHP Dax Whitney

Slot Value: $3,556,300

Dax Whitney has the most helium of any prospect at this present time. It's a projectable frame with budding secondaries and a potentially loud heater. The Braves seem to have an eye on a prep arm and while Kash Mayfield makes a ton of sense, the heat around Whitney is too hard to ignore.


25. San Diego Padres - LHP Kash Mayfield

Slot Value: $3,442,100

The Padres love their preps, that's no secret. There's a grouping of prep guys here, though Mayfield seems like the best fit of that gaggle and would be a fun get for Preller and company. If it's not Mayfield, Kellon Lindsey's name gets some run here.


26. New York Yankees - 1B/3B Tommy White

Slot Value: $3,332,900

The likelihood that the Yankees go with a bat is pretty high and while this may end up being a prep selection, the Yankees may target a performing college bat. That includes Billy Amick, Tommy White, and others. White's bat is the best of that group and our gut tells us he'd be the pick here if it works out that way.


27. philadelphia Phillies - RHP Brody Brecht

Slot Value: $3,228,300

Depending on how you feel about Brody Brecht, this could be in the middle of his potential range or it could be near the top of it. Either which way, the Phillies have the pitching development to at least help Brecht clean up the delivery and improve the strikes necessary to start.


28. HOuston Astros - C Walker Janek

Slot Value: $3,132,500

The Astros have the lowest bonus pool total and it's hard to envision a prep player being the pick here, especially this slot alone is over half of Houston's total pool. Our gut tells us it will likely be one of the college catchers. Janek would be a bit of a surprise since he has suitors higher up on this board, but he'd help Houston save some money if they wanna utilize the most of their money later on.


29. Arizona Diamondbacks - SS Kellon Lindsey

Slot Value: $3,045,500

This is the first of three Arizona picks in the next six. Arizona likes high-contact bats and Lindsey certainly profiles as such. He's also a very impressive runner and many believe he has the chops to stick at shortstop. Expect Arizona to maximize their money over the next couple of picks. Slade Caldwell could be the pick here, as well.


30. Texas Rangers - C Caleb Lomavita

Slot Value: $2,971,300

Whichever college catcher becomes available to Texas at #30, whether it be Janek or Lomavita, makes the most sense to us. Lomavita's got some more raw tools, but the upside is high if everything clicks.


31. Arizona Diamondbacks - RHP Braylon Doughty

Slot Value: $2,904,000

Arizona is back on the clock and this time, our gut feel says it's a prep arm. There's a few options available to them, including Joey Oakie and Dasan Hill, but it's hard to see Doughty falling much further than this. Teams love the feel to spin and there's a good chance he adds more velocity in due time.


32. Baltimore Orioles - INF Wyatt SAnford

Slot Value: $2,835,400

This pick is a bit of wild card. The Orioles have the cash to splurge a little and there's a good chance a prep player is taken here. Dickerson, Caldwell, and Carter Johnson make sense, but it's hard to ignore the projection and tools surrounding Sanford.


33. Minnesota Twins - OF Slade Caldwell

Slot Value: $2,766,100

A potential high-OBP kind of bat for the Twins? Yeah, that's got Caldwell's bat written all over it. It feels like a solid match from this desk.


34. Milwaukee Brewers - OF Vance Honeycutt

Slot Value: $2,698,300

Is it possible that Honeycutt falls this far? Maybe. In this scenario, he does and Milwaukee is as good of a fit as it can get for him. It's a bit of a toss-up if Honeycutt is not available.


35. Arizona Diamondbacks - INF Carter Johnson

Slot Value: $2,632,500

It's time for the last Arizona pick in this mock and we will continue the expectation that they'll utilize as much of their change as humanly possible. Johnson may command a bit of an over-slot deal here, but it's hard to not love the bat path and potential power.


36. Cleveland Guardians - 1B/OF PJ Morlando

Slot Value: $2,569,200

Well, with William Schmidt pulling himself from the draft at the eleventh hour, there's some changes here. There was a plan B to this scenario and for us, it's hard to ignore the availability and tools with Morlando. We'll see what ultimately happens.


37. Pittsburgh Pirates - RHP Bryce Meccage

Slot Value: $2,511,400

There's a bloodline link here, as Meccage's uncle is a bullpen coach in Pittsburgh. Many teams have preferred Meccage over the likes of other prominent Northeast arms and it's easy to see why. Starter traits, a budding arsenal with two banger breaking balls, plus he's been up to 96 MPH this spring.


38. Colorado Rockies - RHP Luke Holman

Slot Value: $2,452,200

Colorado's likely searching for a college arm at this point and things begin to get a bit murky this deep. Ben Hess has been tossed around, as well as Drew Beam. Luke Holman's more of a safer pick, but there's some upside here if he can throw harder and command the baseball better.


39. Washington Nationals - SS Tyson Lewis

Slot Value: $2,395,000

There's a good likelihood that Lewis finds himself higher on this board, but given the Nationals' additional pool money now, could they buy him down? That scenario plays out in our minds and could ultimately happen.

2024 MLB Draft Prospect Profile: OF Slade Caldwell

CF Slade Caldwell

Age: 18                             

B: Left   T: Left

HT: 5 ‘9   WT: 182

Hometown: Jonesboro, AR (Valley View High School)

2024 Stats: 33 G, .485 BA, 708 OBP, 58 R, 3 HR, 18 RBI, 51 SB, 49 BB, 10 SO

Caldwell's approach in the batter's box sets him apart; he adeptly works counts and capitalizes on mistakes with his exceptional bat speed. Despite his below-average power, he consistently sprays line drives around the diamond, showcasing his excellent contact skills (84% contact rate). He’s fearlessness in deep counts and his ability to draw walks to set the table for his team stands out. His adept barrel control, solid two-strike approach, and ability to fend off tough pitches further highlight his unique skills. 


He uses his double-plus running ability to cause havoc on the bases; he stole 51 bases in his Senior season. He has great baserunning instincts and can swipe second or third at any given time. He gets out of the box well and hustles on every play. In one sequence at the game I attended, Caldwell walked, stole second, and scored from second base on a groundout to second base. His baseball IQ is off the charts, and he uses his tools very effectively to maximize his skill set.


He is listed at 5 '9, 182, but is very well built for his height with strong levers; there isn't much projection left in his frame. Gets good jumps on fly balls to the outfield and takes efficient routes. Caldwell has solid range and enough arm strength to stick in center field. 

Caldwell did pitch this season but will not be a two-way player moving forward. His final pitching stats for this season include a 5-0 record with a 1.63 ERA and 53 K's in 34.1 innings. 

His relentless work ethic and constant drive for self-improvement are evident in his game. He is a natural leader on and off the field for his Valley View team, earning the respect of his teammates. His leadership was instrumental in leading the Valley View Blazers to a 31-2 record and a 5A State Championship. His back-to-back titles as the Gatorade Arkansas Player of the Year and his inclusion in the Baseball America, Perfect Game, and MaxPreps All-First Teams further underscore his influence and respect among his peers. 


Caldwell has the build and skill set of Corbin Carroll; he does many things very well. Caldwell is a projected 1st-round selection in this summer's MLB Draft and would be a great fit in most lineups looking for a table-setter. 

2024 MLB Draft: Top 300 Players Final Update

2024 MLB Draft: Top 300 Players Final Update

After a long, tedious construction of our board, the Prospects Live Draft Team is excited to unveil the final iteration of our 2024 board. This update takes in a lot of factors: our live looks, film studies, and industry rumblings. There’s been quite a bit of movement, especially at the top of this class, as the likes of Christian Moore and Jurrangle Cijntje have had helium down the stretch. There are also a few new names on our board, including Nathan Flewelling and Ryan Verdugo, both of whom are intriguing pieces to take on the second day of the draft. There’s a new #1, too.

MLB Draft Prospects Out West | Part 3

Happy draft week! It’s time to put the ribbon on west coast draft coverage and present the top players set to be drafted from the West Coast Conference and the Mountain West Conference. The West Coast Conference boasts a handful of arms that should become solid professionals with a couple of positional players mixed in.

West Coast Conference

Blake Shepardson, RHP, San Francisco

Shepardson didn’t have a strong year, battling fits of control and inconsistency. Still, the raw tools here are undeniable. Shepardson touched 100 this year and typically sits 95-97 with his fastballs. Shepardson can either throw a flatter 4-seam with some run or a less effective 2-seam. Shepardson’s 4-seam fastball is easily plus because of its velocity and above-average run, though the pitch needs to be spotted better.

The 6-foot-5 righty backs his fastballs up with a power slider in the mid-80s, usually 84-86, with a devastating two-plane break. The slider is another easy plus pitch that gives Shepardson substantial pro upside. Expect a team to find themselves a promising relief prospect late on day 2; with development, there’s legit late-inning potential here.

Sam Stuhr, RHP, Portland

With a case as the conference’s best arm, Stuhr features a powerful arsenal capable of dominating games. Though his frame is on the smaller end, Stuhr sits 93-96--touching 98--and gets some low launch on his fastball to make it an above-average offering. Where he’s going to make his money in July is with two average or better breakers. While the slider doesn’t break a ton, it sits 86-89 and can be an overpowering pitch.

Stuhr’s curveball has the upside of being his best pitch. It’s a true north-south breaking ball with limited glove-side break that can get up to 83. The curveball unlocks the ability to better attack left-handed bats and create starter upside. Overall, the arm talent here is great, and it’s fair to assume Stuhr could eventually sit a tick higher with his fastball and the two solid-breaking balls. He may find a taker early on day 2.

Nick Brink, RHP, Portland

As the true leader of the Portland pitching staff, Brink may be a better pro than Stuhr despite less flashy stuff. The 6-foot-2 righty will be 23 later this season and won’t land as highly in the draft, but his developed 4-pitch arsenal gives him legitimate backend upside. Brink sits 91-94 with a metrically standard fastball. It looks like an average offering, but his command of the pitch allows it to be very effective.

Backing it up, Brink’s slider misses a ton of bats as a tight mid-80s offering that he pinpoints away to hitters, and his ability to command the pitch to both sides of the zone is advanced. There’s also a promising curveball here with good drop, but Brink’s changeup ties the profile together and makes him a nightmare for left-handed bats. It’s a super deceptive pitch with excellent arm action and just subtle fade to get plenty of weak contact and mistimed swings. A sum of several quality parts, Brink will surely rise through an organization as a starter.

Spencer Scott, 2B, Portland

Offering one of the best contact (92.6% z-contact rate) and plate discipline (12.2% chase rate) combos in this class, Scott, with his line-drive approach, is sure to contribute in the pros. He’s a well-below-average power guy and a below-average runner, which throws a wrench into the equation, but Scott will be an average defender either at the hot corner or second base.

Likely a day-three option, Scott is sure to run low strikeout rates and quality walk rates and provide good depth to a minor-league lineup with true utility upside.

Dalton Mashore, OF, Saint Mary’s

Mashore is a box checker with few flaws. There’s above-average raw power (106.2 mph 90th EV), swing decisions, and a feel for contact. He’s got it all on the offensive side. Throw in above-average speed, legit capability in center field, and solid twitch in his swing, and the upside is very apparent with Mashore.

Digging for flaws, his swing can get a bit like a chop without much flexibility in his wrists. While his bat path is primed for generating backspin, his barrel accuracy leaves some to be desired, and he frequently gets on top of the baseball. There are also concerns about his ability to handle velocity. All in all, potential 5-tool centerfielders don’t grow on trees, and Mashore profiles to be average or better across the board.

Josh Randall, RHP, San Diego

Likely to be the WCC’s highest-drafted player this year, Randall offers a unique look and profile that assures interest. Throwing from what’s a sidearm slot, Randall sits 92-96 with a pair of fastballs; his primary is a quality sinker with a heavy run that can gear up to 98, while he also throws a 4-seamer with one of the flattest approach angles in the class because of his slot. Both are above-average offerings and will allow Randall to be somewhat splits-proof.

Randall also has a pair of above-average secondaries. The pitch he leans on most heavily is a slider with a heavy drop that can touch 89. He throws a potentially plus power changeup to help him truly dominate left-handed hitters. It’s an upper 80s to low 90s offering with a plus run and some fade that’s difficult to pick up because of his low slot. Having 4 legitimate offerings, pitchabilty, and a low slot makes Randall truly one of a kind in this year’s class and the mix of traits could get him to the back of day 1.

Ariel Armas, C, San Diego

Armas can catch. The 6-foot backstop is agile behind the dish, serving as a premium blocker (credited with 0 passed balls in 2024) with good framing ability and very quick exchanges behind the dish--I’ve clocked low 1.7 pop times. This looks like a plus defender already.

To help his case, Armas brings a capable bat with an 89.5 zone contact rate and a rock-solid 18.4 chase rate. His swing is very compact and short, giving him some certainty as he enters the pros. Armas reads spin and velocity excellently, though he’s not a great fastball hitter. Armas also has real power with a 104.4 90th percentile EV, equating to fringe-average pop. When you least expect it, Armas can get up the line in under 4.3 seconds, giving him a legit average or better speed. It would be shocking if Armas isn’t a solid pro, and there’s legitimate backup catcher potential here or more.

Drake Frize, RHP, San Diego

Frize is uniquely effective despite his limited power and otherwise traditional delivery. Hitters managed just a .559 OPS all year against Frize and his low-power arsenal. His fastball sits 88-91, though it features elite carry to deceive hitters’ eyes. The 23-year-old backs the heater up with a mid-70s curveball and a low-80s changeup.

Frize’s curveball gets an enormous drop and is thrown with intention, making it a solid average pitch. His changeup is a prototypical tempo killer, as he throws it with deception through hard downhill and with a 10 mph difference from his fastball. Frize also reaps the benefits of above-average command and could be a unique senior-sign middle relief prospect because of his three usable pitches and command.

Owen Hackman, RHP, Loyola Marymount

Hackman carries multiple tools to entice clubs with a carrying fastball that gets 21.4 IVB from a 91-93 mph range. It’s an average or better pitch that will keep him afloat in the pros. However, Hackman’s pair of solid breaking balls propel this profile into legit prospect territory.

Hackman’s slider features above-average power, sitting 84-87, topping at 89 with good depth, while his low-80s curveball is a bat-missing north-south offering. There’s a sneaky budding changeup here that has touched 90 with quality fade that should push Hackman to the beginning of day 3.

Seamus Barrett, RHP, Loyola Marymount

Barrett threatens Randall and Stuhr as one of the best arms in this conference, though as a 23-year-old senior sign, he’ll likely slide into the beginning or middle of day 3. It’s a legit mid-90s arm, sitting 93-95 with quality run from his massive 6-foot-7 frame. That pitch will get Barrett drafted because of the unique look.

Barrett stacks a strong profile with his above-average 12-6 curveball. His frame allows him to get great leverage on the pitch, and it’s been unhittable when executed. There’s also a sub-1000 RPM splitter in the mix that misses many bats, though Barrett needs to develop a better feel for the offspeed. A few uncommon characteristics are packed into one prospect here, and Barrett will be one of the more sought-after senior signs.

Other WCC names to keep an eye on:

Preston Howey, RHP, Saint Mary’s

Howey is a reliever at the next level with an average fastball that sits 92-95, touching 97 from a lower slot. He also throws an average slider with depth in the mid-80s. Howey throws strikes and will be one of the first pure relievers off the board.

Brian Duroff, OF, Saint Mary’s

Duroff is a solid, though unspectacular, all-around outfielder. He’s fringe-average or a touch better in most key areas, though he’s a below-average runner and may eventually have to move from the grass.

Austin Smith, OF, San Diego

A well-below-average power player with defensive limitations seems like an odd pro fit, but Smith approaches everything with a solid approach and maximizes his limited power.

Jordan Hamberg, OF, Gonzaga

Currently, a two-way player, Hamburg will only hit at the next level with plus swing decisions and fringe-average power. There’s a potential 1B/DH snag, but he’s a worthy day three prospect.

Sam Biller, OF, Loyola Marymount

Another solid floor, though very low ceiling outfielder, Biller is an above-average defender with above-average speed and enough impact in his bat to get by in the pros, though the hit tool needs refinement.

Blake Hammond, RHP, Santa Clara

Hammond is a rounded pitcher with pitchability as his guiding tool. He mixes three pitches well and can grab 93 with his fastball. It’s his manipulatable breaking ball--sometimes a mid-80s pitch with less drop but more often a low-80s traditional curveball--that makes him a viable pro prospect. Both variations miss bats and barrels.

Mountain West Conference

Dayne Pengelly, RHP, New Mexico

A Pima Community College product, the Albuquerque native returned to his hometown, UNM, for what will be his final collegiate season. The 6-foot-3 throws from a funky low slot and quality pitch characteristics. Pengelly mixes two different fastballs that generate a ton of ground balls by working hard to the armside, especially his 4-seam fastball, relative to what’s typical.

Neither the four-seam or two-seam are particularly effective pitches now because of inconsistent location, but both can get up to 97 and usually sit 92-95. Pengelly throws an average slider with quality depth to back the heaters up. Pengelly has flashed a changeup that could be a tunneling weapon with his fastballs but will require more feel—Pengelly profiles as a day three relief target.

Tommy Hopfe, 1B/OF Fresno State

A switch-hitter with a plus feel for contact from both sides and solid average power, Hopfe is an intriguing day-two option. Hopfe has a muscular build that lends itself to enough raw power to threaten for 15+ homers in the pros and possibly more if he can add more loft to his swing. His zone contact rate of 94.2% will jump out in models, though a chase rate of 28.8%--with extra proclivity to chase secondaries--bring Hopfe’s profile down a notch.

Additionally, Hopfe likely plays first base in the pros, though teams may be willing to try the fringe-average athlete in a corner, where his low-90s arm on the mound may offer additional value.

Brendan O’Sullivan, SS, UNLV

O’Sullivan’s calling card is his defensive prowess at shortstop. His actions are quick and smooth, with extremely polished footwork and above-average range. The glove will carry O’Sullivan through the pros, though he’s no slouch offensively. 

O’Sullivan’s 104.1 mph 90th percentile exit velocity indicates he’s a genuine threat to leave the yard, especially considering his quality bat control and lofty right-handed swing with a high handset. O’Sullivan also has a sound offensive approach with average swing decisions and sees spin extremely well. However, O’Sullivan has some issues catching up to velocity. As a slick-fielding shortstop with a capable bat, the UNLV product will attract attention from late day 2 and early day 3.

Michael Ball, 2B/SS, Nevada

See ball, hit ball is the name of the Nevada infielder’s game. Ball ran a stellar 93.5% zone contact rate this year, and his short bat path indicates that he will continue in the pros. Ball is one of the more aggressive hitters in the class and will not walk much in the pros--he runs extremely high swing rates against secondary offerings. There is legit fringe-average pop here and lift that could manifest in 10-15 homers a year.

Ball also handles both middle infield positions, though his fringe average speed is noticeable at shortstop, where his abilities are somewhat limited. Teams looking for a hitter with a feel for contact and some power will make Ball a day 3 target.

JR Freethy, OF, Nevada

The switch-hitting Freethy is the most complete pure hitter in the conference with plus feel for contact and plus swing decisions. Freethy’s swing is compact and a bit whippy with solid bat speed. He has a slighter 6-foot frame that doesn’t lend much power though Freethy’s 103.1 mph 90th percentile exit velocity is still respectable.


There is average speed here, and Freethy has played center field, although he’s best suited for a corner spot.

Other MW names to keep an eye on:

Jake Holland, C, New Mexico

As a 5th year player, Holland is exclusively a money saver, a very late day three pick, or a priority UDFA. There’s a real backup catcher upside here with average pop, a swing built for pull-side lift, and solid hands behind the plate.

Austin Kryszczuk, 1B, UNLV

Kryszczuk’s performance history makes him a legit pro prospect. He’s not above average in any way, with average swing decisions, a feel for contact, and fringe-average raw power, but Kryszczuk hits fastballs with the best of them.

 

Jadon Bercovich, RHP, San Diego State

The SDSU right-hander's results this year (8.24 ERA) were truly unsightly, but his 2800 rpm two-plane slider is a weapon that misses bats. With some tweaks to his fastball usage, he will play in a bullpen.


This wraps the three-part coverage of draft prospects out west. Keep a close eye on the West Coast Conference’s top prospects as solid-upside big leaguers with some intriguing names to emerge from the WCC’s depth along with the Mountain West.

2024 MLB Draft Prospect Profile: 2B/SS Griff O'Ferrall

2B/SS Griff O’Ferrall

Age: 21

B: Right T: Right

HT: 6/1 WT: 195

Hometown: Richmond, VA

2024 Stats: 63 G, 323 PA, .325/.367/.454, 64 R, 20 2B, 5 HR, 52 RBI, 17 SB, 22 BB, 24 SO

While he doesn’t have the same draft pedigree as former Virginia teammate Kyle Teel, O’Ferrall has been of the most consistent bats for the Cavaliers over the last three years. During his time at Virginia, he’s slashed .324/.367/.454 with 45 doubles, eight home runs, 133 RBI, and 50 stolen bases. He’s your prototypical sum-of-all-parts type player who does just about everything right.

Very mature and polished at the plate, O’Ferrall is one of the toughest players to get out. He has some of the best, if not the best, bat-to-ball skills in the 2024 MLB Draft class, totaling 200 hits over the last two seasons while sporting a 12.1 K% in 2023 and an insane 7.5 K% this year. Every time I saw him in live looks this year, it was a battle for the pitcher to get him out. He will foul off pitch after pitch until he gets a hit or the pitcher finds a way to put him away. His swing, which generates a ton of barrels, is made for line drives, and he can often get enough power to go gap to gap. The power is still below-average overall, and he won’t hit many balls over the fence.

O’Ferrall has a compact, wiry frame with solid athleticism that can play very well up the middle of the field. He has quick twitch reactions on the field, and his improved arm strength allows you to believe he can stick at shortstop. He’s got above-average speed on the basepaths and isn’t afraid to try and take an extra bag. His good reads allow him to pile up more stolen bases than expected.

I mentioned in my other live looks that he reminds me of a Matt Shaw-light on the offensive side of the ball due to his lack of power. Shaw is one of those guys who did everything offensively above average. O’Ferrall likely has a better hit tool but less power. A better overall comparison on both sides of the ball might be Nick Loftin, but with a better hit tool. Loftin was above-average run, field, and throw but with an average hit tool and below-average power. O’Ferrall is the same in terms of run, field, throw, and power but has a plus-hit tool, giving him more upside. He likely makes for a good utility player at the next level, and teams will likely be going after O’Ferrall late on day one.

2024 MLB Draft Prospect Profile: INF/OF Seaver King

INF/OF Seaver King

Age: 21

B: Right T: Right

HT: 6/0 WT: 195

Hometown: Athens, GA

2024 Stats: 60 G, 284 PA, .308/.377/.577, 59 R, 14 2B, 3 3B, 16 HR, 64 RBI, 11 SB, 25 BB, 34 SO

Seaver King has one of the coolest stories out there. Undersized and small coming out of high school, King didn’t get many offers. He ended up committing to NCAA Division II Wingate (N.C.). He didn’t let that keep him from performing. He put up a 47-game hitting streak where he slashed .411/.457/.699 with 11 home runs and 13 steals as a sophomore. Still, some questioned whether he could compete with guys at the higher level. He silenced those questions with solid appearances with the U.S. Collegiate National Team and the Cape Code League in the summer of 2023. In 71 plate appearances in the Cape, he slashed .424/.479/.542 with a 1.021 OPS while hitting four doubles, one home run, and driving in nine.

The one thing that stood out about Seaver King was that he’s an athlete and an absolute gamer. In the series I saw him, he didn’t do much at the plate, but he was trying to make things happen despite his struggles. He even laid down a bunt, using his plus speed to beat it out for a single. A lot of his struggles come primarily from his approach at the plate. He’s a bit overly aggressive, which leads to some chasing out of the zone, but he still keeps his strikeout rate low, which hovered at 12% this year. You’d like to see him develop more patience and walk more, and there is plenty of time for him to develop. His bat speed makes up for his aggressiveness, and he hits the ball far when he’s making contact. While the contact rates are low because of his aggressiveness, he generates weak contact from time to time as he doesn’t get the barrel to the ball, but that could easily correct itself over time and as he gets more experience against elite pitching.

Defensively, he looked to fit the part in centerfield, and I have no concerns about him sticking there. He had a ton of range and could easily track down balls. He gets incredible jumps. He’s also received time on the infield, primarily shortstop, and he’s played decent enough there but is likely a better outfielder. The speed is a definite plus to his game, and he will do whatever it takes to beat out a ground ball. He gets out of the box quickly. He can wreak havoc on the basepaths by stretching singles into doubles, but he’s still working to improve his jumps to increase the amount of steals he has. The power and speed, combined with his insane athleticism, will have teams calling his name in the first round of the 2024 MLB Draft.

2024 MLB Draft Prospect Profile: RHP Jay Woolfolk

2024 MLB Draft Prospect Profile: RHP Jay Woolfolk

When you look at the final statistics for Jay Woolfolk, they aren’t the kind of numbers you want to see. But for Woolfolk, this was the first year he transitioned to becoming a starting pitcher after spending time in the bullpen for Virginia. Despite his struggles, he found a ton of success this postseason, throwing up 8 IP, 2 ER, 7 K in the NCAA Regionals against Mississippi State.

2024 MLB Draft Prospect Profile: LHP Everett Catlett

2024 MLB Draft Prospect Profile: LHP Everett Catlett

Georgetown left-hander put on a show in the Big East this year making him one of the more intriguing mid-major arms in the 2024 MLB Draft. He posted a 1.80 ERA in conference play and was 7th all-time in strikeouts per 9, 7th most in strikeouts in a season, and 7th most in wins in a season.

MLB Draft Prospects Out West | Part 2

MLB Draft Prospects Out West | Part 2

Tyler Paddor continues his series, looking at 2024 MLB Draft prospects out west. The Big West Conference has loads of fascinating names to be on the lookout for that will comprise a fair portion of this year’s day 2 selections, with a couple of sleepers to sneak into the very end of day 1

2024 MLB Draft Prospect Profile: RHP Chase Burns

2024 MLB Draft Prospect Profile: RHP Chase Burns

Chase Burns was obviously the best arms I saw during live looks this year. We are basically at the point where we are running out of words to describe how good Burns is. He’s at least the top two, if not the top, arm in the 2024 MLB Draft. It’s been a fun battle between him and Arkansas lefty Hagen Smith.